NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	87		Excitement	7.5 [311]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +13.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	2.1 [584]		LVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): -26.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	19	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
Hersey Hawkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	55%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Otis Thorpe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	19	47%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	13	32%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.26	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	0.00	19	33%	-0.19	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	6	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.00	6	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.09	-0.01	30	59%	0.16	5	-0.21	14	100%	0.08
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	29.1	16.0	28.2	2.5	31.6	131.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +77.2%

CHH -5.9%

CHH -10.4%

CHH -15.6%

LAL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	LAL	NBA	CHH	LAL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	95.6	103.3	100.9
season	15.8	15.6		99.7	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.6		101.8	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.1	14.9	18.8	17.5	16.4
LAL	15.6	13.3	17.2	15.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	20	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-4	2	16.8	16.3	0.46	14.6	15.6	-1.03
Eddie Robinson	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-6	6	14.7	17.3	-2.60	13.8	16.1	-2.39
Hersey Hawkins	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	0	-6	16.3	16.5	-0.18	12.9	16.2	-3.31
Otis Thorpe	20	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	17.3	16.2	1.17	13.7	15.9	-2.23
Baron Davis	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-4	2	16.9	15.3	1.56	16.4	12.4	3.95
P.J. Brown	71	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-5	4	16.2	17.3	-1.17	15.9	13.7	2.23
David Wesley	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-6	6	16.4	16.8	-0.47	16.2	11.6	4.56
Elden Campbell	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	16.3	16.8	-0.46	15.6	14.6	1.03
Jamal Mashburn	79	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	4	-14	16.9	13.6	3.29	15.1	17.2	-2.17

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	49	49	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.34	16	-10	26	13.7	17.3	-3.61	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Horace Grant	66	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	2	2	15.4	15.3	0.06	15.7	18.4	-2.65
Robert Horry	38	39	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	14.8	15.8	-1.06	17.2	15.9	1.29
Kobe Bryant	90	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	15.4	0.0	15.38	16.4	0.0	16.44
Rick Fox	50	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	3	0	14.9	15.9	-0.98	15.3	17.8	-2.44
Mark Madsen	47	49	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	-9	24	14.3	16.5	-2.22	17.2	15.6	1.57
Devean George	12	13	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	2	2	16.1	15.3	0.81	18.5	16.1	2.45
Isaiah Rider	26	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	5	-4	16.0	15.1	0.82	18.0	15.8	2.24
Tyronn Lue	15	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.11	1	5	-4	14.1	15.6	-1.57	16.0	16.5	-0.53
Ron Harper	28	28	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.05	-13	19	-32	18.9	13.8	5.10	16.7	16.3	0.35
Greg Foster	29	28	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.06	-14	20	-34	17.9	14.2	3.67	15.9	16.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, DEN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.47,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.78,0.98,1,1	92.9%
DET 96, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.86,0.85,1	92.0%
IND 82, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	91.7%