NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	9.7 [67]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +19.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	5.2 [285]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (MIL): -32.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.00	13	56%	0.15	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Scott Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.03	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	21	47%	-0.02	3	-0.19	9	89%	0.08
Glenn Robinson	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29	-0.06	-0.23	0.01	20	47%	-0.27	1	-0.02	13	69%	-0.06
Lindsey Hunter	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.32	-0.09	-0.28	-0.04	13	47%	-0.16	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.01	0.19	-0.02	14	50%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	7	55%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	80%	0.22	5	-0.19	3	100%	0.06
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	7	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	26	49%	-0.09	4	-0.10	7	43%	-0.22

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	29.2	15.4	25.5	2.5	30.6	129.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +72.8%

MIL -23.4%

MIL -9.7%

MIN +7.1%

MIN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.8	15.5	103.2	104.2	100.9
season	14.9	15.0		105.9	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.8	13.3	16.2	18.0	15.8
MIN	13.1	18.0	13.8	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	31	32	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.03	7	-10	17	15.0	16.2	-1.21	16.0	14.3	1.75
Scott Williams	34	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-6	9	15.8	15.8	-0.07	15.8	14.2	1.63
Joel Przybilla	28	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	1	-5	16.1	15.7	0.38	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Tim Thomas	50	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-10	17	15.4	16.3	-0.92	15.7	13.9	1.73
Mark Pope	32	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	6	-15	16.6	15.4	1.15	13.5	15.5	-1.99
Glenn Robinson	85	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.50	5	-8	13	15.6	18.1	-2.54	15.2	11.2	3.92
Ervin Johnson	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-2	1	15.5	16.4	-0.88	15.5	13.3	2.21
Ray Allen	74	75	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.36	-12	9	-21	16.2	14.4	1.81	14.0	17.9	-3.94
Lindsey Hunter	67	68	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.44	-11	8	-19	16.2	14.8	1.33	13.8	17.4	-3.53

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	63	64	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.36	22	-19	41	14.0	16.4	-2.36	16.8	13.6	3.23
Kevin Garnett	83	80	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.46	10	-7	17	14.4	18.2	-3.81	16.4	12.1	4.34
Terrell Brandon	85	84	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-5	13	14.6	16.9	-2.30	15.9	14.8	1.14
Todd Day	33	32	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.46	1	2	-1	14.2	15.2	-0.92	15.9	15.8	0.10
LaPhonso Ellis	51	52	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.49	-7	10	-17	16.3	13.1	3.18	15.5	16.2	-0.78
Anthony Peeler	51	51	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	-2	7	14.4	15.4	-1.06	16.3	15.2	1.17
Rasho Nesterovic	49	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	-2	7	13.7	16.1	-2.37	16.0	15.6	0.39
Dean Garrett	7	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	5	-7	19.3	14.5	4.80	12.5	16.1	-3.62
Chauncey Billups	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	6	-9	18.8	14.4	4.35	12.6	16.2	-3.60
William Avery	10	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.07	-5	8	-13	16.9	14.6	2.30	14.8	15.9	-1.14
Reggie Slater	18	15	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.07	-6	9	-15	15.9	14.6	1.36	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Sam Mitchell	16	14	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	16	-29	16.7	14.5	2.22	11.1	16.6	-5.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.29,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.18,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	90.6%
POR 117, LAC 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.69,0.92,1	89.8%
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	89.7%