NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	80		Excitement	5.5 [695]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +8.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	1.1 [500]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -19.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	6	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Robert Horry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	21	54%	-0.02	4	-0.10	12	42%	-0.10
Kobe Bryant	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	19	41%	-0.16	2	-0.04	13	77%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	19	65%	0.16	3	-0.07	14	79%	0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	49%	-0.03	2	-0.05	11	82%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	40%	-0.03	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	3	30%	-0.05	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	54.8	1.7	33.2	19.6	30.2	2.8	38.1	180.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +30.5%

SEA +23.4%

SEA +11.7%

LAL -24.0%

SEA +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.5	85.1	97.8	100.9
season	15.6	15.2		106.8	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	16.5	16.4	14.5	15.4
SEA	14.9	14.8	16.4	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-14	17	18.2	15.1	3.12	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Ron Harper	47	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-12	13	15.1	15.8	-0.72	16.4	14.3	2.16
Rick Fox	67	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-15	19	15.0	16.5	-1.48	15.6	14.9	0.69
Greg Foster	6	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-6	1	19.2	15.2	4.00	13.3	15.5	-2.18
Devean George	56	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-7	3	15.2	15.8	-0.61	15.5	15.2	0.21
Isaiah Rider	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-9	7	15.7	15.3	0.33	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Brian Shaw	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	2	-15	15.6	15.3	0.26	16.3	15.0	1.36
Shaquille O'Neal	79	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-4	-3	15.2	16.5	-1.24	15.9	13.0	2.87
Tyronn Lue	30	29	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	15.4	15.4	0.01	13.5	16.2	-2.70
Robert Horry	30	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	0	-11	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.7	15.7	-1.05
Kobe Bryant	85	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.17	-14	3	-17	15.6	13.6	2.07	15.1	17.4	-2.27

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	84	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	2	7	15.4	14.8	0.66	15.5	15.0	0.47
Vin Baker	41	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-4	19	14.2	16.3	-2.11	16.1	14.8	1.32
Desmond Mason	29	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	0	11	14.0	16.0	-1.95	16.2	15.1	1.14
Rashard Lewis	69	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	7	-3	16.1	13.4	2.64	14.9	16.9	-1.98
Shammond Williams	34	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	3	5	13.6	16.4	-2.73	16.2	15.0	1.20
Brent Barry	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	6	-1	16.2	13.2	2.92	15.0	16.6	-1.59
Ruben Patterson	68	69	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	8	-5	16.0	13.6	2.43	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Patrick Ewing	44	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.16	-1	12	-13	15.6	15.1	0.49	15.0	15.8	-0.76
Olumide Oyedeji	28	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	10	-9	14.8	15.6	-0.79	16.5	15.0	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
UTA 85, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAL 91, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.5%