NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	8.7 [118]		MVP	Vonteego Cummings (GSW): +7.9%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.7 [478]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -22.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Stith	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Eric Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Walter McCarty	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	6	17%	-0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	23	50%	-0.11	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.07
Antoine Walker	-0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23	0.00	-0.21	0.02	19	55%	-0.05	3	-0.18	4	75%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.06	0.12	-0.02	11	46%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.05
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	8	59%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.01	4	-0.09	9	78%	0.03
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	11	45%	-0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	13	43%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.02	25	55%	0.03	8	-0.24	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	29.4	16.6	35.0	1.8	33.2	141.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +25.1%

GSW +17.3%

GSW +11.3%

BOS -3.4%

BOS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	15.5	92.9	94.9	100.9
season	15.1	15.0		99.7	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		104.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.5	14.6	13.8	17.0	14.6
GSW	14.2	13.1	14.5	17.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	52	51	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.25	16	-19	35	13.7	15.6	-1.82	16.6	12.6	3.99
Eric Williams	49	49	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.35	19	-22	41	14.4	14.8	-0.47	14.9	14.4	0.48
Milt Palacio	25	25	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-3	3	14.7	14.6	0.10	12.9	15.2	-2.35
Chris Carr	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-2	1	11.5	15.0	-3.55	11.5	15.1	-3.57
Walter McCarty	19	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	6	-15	15.3	14.4	0.89	14.3	14.7	-0.42
Antoine Walker	92	92	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.50	6	-9	15	14.3	19.3	-5.04	14.7	13.6	1.15
Bryant Stith	56	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	8	-19	14.9	14.2	0.76	14.2	15.2	-0.96
Randy Brown	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	0	-3	14.7	14.2	0.51	15.5	12.3	3.17
Mark Blount	46	47	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.12	-19	16	-35	15.6	13.7	1.82	12.9	16.2	-3.40
Paul Pierce	68	70	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.40	-13	10	-23	15.1	13.6	1.49	14.9	14.1	0.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	72	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	-1	5	14.6	14.6	0.01	15.4	12.6	2.74
Marc Jackson	58	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.55	0	3	-3	15.4	13.6	1.75	15.0	14.0	1.06
Antawn Jamison	92	91	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-2	7	14.6	15.1	-0.55	14.7	13.3	1.42
Chris Mullin	57	58	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.02	17	-14	31	13.8	15.8	-2.08	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Vonteego Cummings	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	1	1	15.8	12.8	3.04	15.0	13.9	1.05
Mookie Blaylock	88	86	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.49	-8	11	-19	14.5	15.7	-1.23	13.9	19.6	-5.68
Bill Curley	43	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	1	1	14.2	15.0	-0.84	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Chucky Brown	25	24	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.05	-7	10	-17	13.5	15.0	-1.49	14.2	14.7	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.85,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 119, WAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.6%
ATL 101, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.82,1	91.8%
CLE 93, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1	91.0%