NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	4.1 [964]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): +10.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	1.1 [1069]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -10.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.04	22	54%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	86%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	77%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	8	29%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	12	42%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	74%	0.08	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	10	54%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.03	-0.06	18	50%	0.09	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	82%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	25.1	15.4	24.3	2.5	29.6	125.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.6%

PHI +9.0%

PHI +13.7%

NJN -9.9%

NJN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	16.7	15.5	94.5	105.4	100.9
season	15.5	15.7		97.8	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		97.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.5	14.4	13.6	13.4	14.7
PHI	13.8	18.3	15.7	19.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-10	9	17.6	14.5	3.06	13.6	17.0	-3.41
Keith Van Horn	69	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-11	11	14.1	16.7	-2.55	16.9	16.3	0.61
Lucious Harris	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-2	-7	13.9	15.4	-1.51	15.2	17.8	-2.60
Sherman Douglas	34	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-9	7	14.9	14.6	0.26	18.5	15.6	2.97
Stephen Jackson	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-7	3	15.8	12.9	2.93	16.6	16.9	-0.36
Johnny Newman	48	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	15.1	14.3	0.80	16.3	17.2	-0.84
Kenyon Martin	55	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	-3	-5	14.4	15.2	-0.83	17.8	15.0	2.82
Stephon Marbury	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	1	-13	14.5	16.6	-2.08	16.5	18.2	-1.66
Aaron Williams	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	14.9	14.5	0.38	16.5	17.2	-0.66

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	79	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-6	23	16.8	16.0	0.84	14.8	14.4	0.38
Theo Ratliff	72	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-2	15	17.0	15.8	1.17	15.0	13.9	1.16
Aaron McKie	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	16.6	17.6	-1.00	14.6	15.8	-1.22
Toni Kukoc	58	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	9	-7	16.7	16.7	0.02	14.4	15.3	-0.92
George Lynch	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	4	3	17.2	16.1	1.09	14.4	15.2	-0.71
Rodney Buford	35	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	5	1	15.7	17.3	-1.57	15.5	14.3	1.25
Tyrone Hill	59	58	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	7	-3	16.0	18.0	-2.00	15.0	14.4	0.60
Jumaine Jones	15	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	12	-13	18.5	16.4	2.09	15.9	14.5	1.31
Pepe Sanchez	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	16	-21	17.5	16.6	0.88	11.6	15.1	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 89, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
ORL 103, CHA 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.88,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
BOS 91, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%