NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	111		Excitement	4.3 [932]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): +14.6%
Denver Nuggets	122		Comeback	1.0 [987]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (SEA): -20.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.07	0.03	10	62%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Rashard Lewis	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	16	61%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	20	58%	0.06	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Emanual Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	9	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.02	4	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.10	0.04	17	46%	-0.15	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.07	0.04	19	66%	0.17	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.24	-0.01	0.14	15	83%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garth Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	8	71%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.05	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.2	25.4	15.5	27.9	2.6	27.5	121.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +61.4%

SEA -7.8%

SEA -5.2%

DEN +3.9%

SEA -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DEN	NBA	SEA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.5	15.5	123.3	134.1	100.9
season	15.2	15.2		103.8	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		104.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	19.1	15.8	15.2	15.1	16.4
DEN	12.2	13.6	17.5	19.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olumide Oyedeji	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	8.0	16.6	-8.64	16.0	15.4	0.55
Ruben Wolkowyski	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	8.0	16.6	-8.64	16.0	15.4	0.55
Shammond Williams	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-5	-1	23.7	15.8	7.83	12.0	15.7	-3.72
Desmond Mason	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-5	-1	17.4	16.0	1.39	12.8	16.3	-3.50
Patrick Ewing	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	15.9	16.7	-0.78	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Brent Barry	42	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-10	9	16.0	16.7	-0.67	16.2	14.7	1.51
Rashard Lewis	75	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-8	5	15.7	19.4	-3.65	16.6	10.6	6.01
Gary Payton	84	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	16.2	18.2	-1.94	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Jelani McCoy	9	11	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	4	-19	22.3	15.7	6.64	8.7	16.4	-7.67
Ruben Patterson	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-6	1	16.9	15.2	1.67	15.9	14.6	1.25
Vin Baker	51	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	2	-15	17.2	15.3	1.89	15.9	14.9	0.98
Emanual Davis	56	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-5	-1	15.4	18.0	-2.64	15.6	15.2	0.44

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	39	38	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	-7	25	15.4	15.5	-0.15	16.6	16.2	0.34
Nick Van Exel	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-7	25	15.6	15.2	0.38	16.9	14.6	2.26
James Posey	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	7	-3	16.3	12.4	3.86	15.9	18.1	-2.12
Raef LaFrentz	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-1	13	15.5	15.4	0.08	17.4	14.3	3.08
George McCloud	52	49	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	8	-5	15.4	15.5	-0.07	16.6	16.1	0.43
Robert Pack	16	14	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	3	5	12.6	16.1	-3.46	16.1	16.4	-0.34
Voshon Lenard	64	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	11	-11	15.2	16.1	-0.91	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Mark Strickland	22	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	10	-9	14.4	15.8	-1.40	15.4	16.6	-1.21
Antonio McDyess	57	58	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	15	-19	15.9	14.8	1.08	15.9	17.1	-1.19
Garth Joseph	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	16.0	15.4	0.55	8.0	16.6	-8.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.68,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 88, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.9,0.94,1,1	94.5%
UTA 98, NOH 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%