NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	82		Excitement	3.1 [1125]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +15.3%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	1.3 [602]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -15.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	78%	0.06	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	12%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	15	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	14	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	0%	-0.07
David Robinson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.20	-0.01	-0.05	11	9%	-0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.02	20	67%	0.18	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	13	73%	0.12	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lavor Postell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	26.7	17.4	26.4	2.4	30.6	129.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.1%

NYK +9.5%

SAS -7.5%

NYK +12.3%

NYK +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.5	91.1	115.6	100.9
season	15.9	16.4		103.4	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		96.6	96.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	18.4	16.9	15.1	16.2
NYK	14.7	15.1	15.8	17.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Dial	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	12.2	16.5	-4.33	14.3	15.9	-1.63
Steve Kerr	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	14.1	16.6	-2.53	16.6	15.6	0.97
Samaki Walker	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-11	0	15.7	16.6	-0.88	16.6	15.1	1.55
Ira Newble	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-16	10	15.9	16.7	-0.90	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Danny Ferry	39	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-13	4	16.4	16.1	0.26	15.9	15.7	0.19
Terry Porter	42	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-10	-2	15.7	16.6	-0.93	16.4	15.2	1.26
David Robinson	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-14	6	17.8	14.3	3.52	15.9	15.6	0.27
Antonio Daniels	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.16	-20	-2	-18	16.5	15.3	1.17	15.7	16.0	-0.22
Tim Duncan	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.20	-22	0	-22	16.3	16.0	0.34	15.3	17.3	-2.02
Derek Anderson	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.20	-22	0	-22	16.3	16.0	0.34	15.3	17.3	-2.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.22	24	-2	26	15.2	17.4	-2.21	16.1	16.5	-0.34
Kurt Thomas	62	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.20	22	0	22	16.2	14.9	1.30	16.2	16.2	-0.04
Marcus Camby	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	4	14	15.8	15.9	-0.11	16.9	14.2	2.68
Charlie Ward	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.20	18	4	14	15.1	16.8	-1.69	15.9	16.6	-0.65
Latrell Sprewell	65	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	13	-4	16.5	13.8	2.70	16.6	14.9	1.72
Glen Rice	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	15	-8	16.8	15.0	1.77	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Chris Childs	37	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	18	-14	16.8	15.1	1.69	16.6	15.9	0.65
Larry Johnson	44	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	20	-18	15.5	16.1	-0.57	15.8	16.7	-0.92
Lavor Postell	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	9.5	16.1	-6.58	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Travis Knight	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	14.3	15.9	-1.63	12.2	16.5	-4.33
Erick Strickland	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	9.5	16.1	-6.58	14.7	16.3	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 84, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CLE 80, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIN 81, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%