NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	94		Excitement	9.8 [60]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +24.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	2.0 [650]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -30.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.24	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.19	0.01	17	56%	0.24	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Mason	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	19	60%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Eddie House	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.06	-0.00	5	43%	0.08	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.04
Brian Grant	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	16	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.00	14	17%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3	-0.11	-0.19	-0.00	15	51%	-0.05	5	-0.25	11	73%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	72%	0.21	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.00	11	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	11	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	16	44%	0.01	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.04
Jeff McInnis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	10	45%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	7	56%	-0.05	2	-0.11	4	0%	-0.11
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	8	12%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	29.6	16.4	25.4	1.8	38.0	1.6	17.2	156.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +30.2%

MIA +2.6%

MIA +0.8%

MIA +17.2%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	15.5	94.9	89.8	100.9
season	16.3	16.1		98.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.6	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	15.6	16.3	17.8	16.4	13.1	16.2
LAC	19.4	11.9	19.2	14.9	16.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	76	75	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.75	9	-3	12	16.5	14.9	1.61	17.7	11.0	6.65
Tim Hardaway	81	79	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-9	24	16.3	15.6	0.66	16.9	12.8	4.15
Anthony Mason	83	84	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-3	12	16.4	15.0	1.37	16.5	14.1	2.40
Eddie Jones	92	91	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	16.1	17.0	-0.91	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Anthony Carter	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	8	-10	14.7	17.3	-2.52	14.8	17.2	-2.42
Eddie House	1	1	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	4	-2	1.0	16.3	-15.31	0.0	16.3	-16.30
Cedric Ceballos	12	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	16.7	16.1	0.59	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Bruce Bowen	70	69	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.40	2	4	-2	15.9	16.7	-0.71	16.0	16.4	-0.40
A.C. Green	36	35	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.07	-11	17	-28	17.1	15.6	1.51	13.1	17.8	-4.74

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	59	60	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.05	9	-15	24	14.5	18.5	-4.00	16.0	16.3	-0.30
Eric Piatkowski	62	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-18	30	13.8	20.2	-6.46	15.7	17.0	-1.36
Michael Olowokandi	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-1	-4	20.0	14.7	5.29	18.4	15.3	3.13
Brian Skinner	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	3	-12	20.3	14.5	5.86	16.7	15.9	0.73
Jeff McInnis	61	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	5	-16	17.8	13.5	4.29	15.8	16.6	-0.77
Keyon Dooling	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-9	12	13.9	18.4	-4.47	15.4	17.0	-1.65
Quentin Richardson	31	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	7	-20	18.6	15.0	3.58	16.5	16.0	0.58
Darius Miles	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-8	10	14.6	18.6	-4.04	16.9	15.1	1.76
Sean Rooks	47	47	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-5	4	14.5	17.7	-3.20	15.3	16.9	-1.67
Lamar Odom	66	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.17	-17	11	-28	18.1	12.2	5.90	16.2	16.0	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.24,0.29,0.06,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.09,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.05,0	89.0%
HOU 110, DEN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.09,0	88.4%
TOR 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.09,0,0	88.0%