NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	6.8 [438]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +24.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	4.7 [272]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -21.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.10	0.01	22	69%	0.28	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	12	64%	0.21	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	15	66%	0.21	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Mario Elie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	117%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Paul McPherson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	9	48%	-0.08	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Tony Delk	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	9	15%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	22	57%	0.20	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	14	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Mark Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	14	42%	-0.06	4	-0.16	8	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	25.5	15.6	23.3	2.7	30.3	122.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.1%

PHX +11.1%

MIL -2.2%

PHX +9.4%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.5	120.9	110.3	100.9
season	14.9	14.9		97.7	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.3	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.8	19.2	15.9	17.7	17.3
MIL	14.5	17.8	15.4	16.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	63	62	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.22	20	-12	32	17.8	15.9	1.91	16.7	14.3	2.34
Rodney Rogers	57	57	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.22	17	-9	26	17.2	17.4	-0.20	16.1	15.7	0.44
Jason Kidd	67	67	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-6	20	16.6	19.7	-3.04	15.4	17.8	-2.42
Clifford Robinson	70	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-7	22	17.1	18.3	-1.23	15.2	19.1	-3.89
Shawn Marion	62	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.30	10	-2	12	17.5	16.7	0.78	16.9	13.7	3.24
Daniel Santiago	22	23	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	6	-4	16.6	17.5	-0.91	15.3	16.2	-0.87
Chris Dudley	17	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	12	-16	17.6	17.2	0.34	14.4	16.4	-2.03
Corie Blount	5	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	14	-20	20.6	17.1	3.49	17.2	15.9	1.27
Paul McPherson	7	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	17	-26	20.0	17.1	2.92	15.3	16.0	-0.76
Tony Delk	35	38	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.03	-9	17	-26	17.1	17.4	-0.29	16.0	16.0	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	25	26	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.01	-10	18	-28	17.3	17.3	0.01	16.8	15.6	1.22

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	22	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-17	26	17.3	15.5	1.78	20.0	16.4	3.62
Mark Pope	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	15.1	16.4	-1.25	18.3	16.9	1.42
Ervin Johnson	31	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-4	0	18.5	14.6	3.98	16.9	17.5	-0.60
Lindsey Hunter	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-6	4	16.7	15.1	1.65	17.1	17.5	-0.38
Jason Caffey	51	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-4	0	15.1	17.2	-2.15	16.9	17.9	-0.99
Sam Cassell	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	1	-10	14.8	17.5	-2.64	17.9	16.6	1.26
Tim Thomas	53	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-3	-2	16.6	15.1	1.53	17.1	17.7	-0.63
Ray Allen	82	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	-1	-6	15.8	19.2	-3.41	17.2	18.3	-1.10
Glenn Robinson	73	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.18	-14	6	-20	15.5	18.5	-2.99	16.6	21.2	-4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.17,0.32,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	92.4%
DET 84, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.1%
WAS 77, NOH 70	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	91.9%