NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	7.5 [320]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +20.5%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	2.0 [768]		LVP	Khalid El-Amin (CHI): -18.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.13	0.10	0.02	13	75%	0.24	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,0.1	-0.05	0.12	-0.03	20	50%	0.16	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.08
Latrell Sprewell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Luc Longley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	39%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	5	25%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	14	63%	0.18	2	-0.08	13	92%	0.07
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.06	-0.06	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.10
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Tarlac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	4	30%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	12	56%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	6	31%	-0.07	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Khalid El-Amin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	11	44%	-0.11	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	27.5	16.3	29.6	1.7	37.0	142.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.2%

NYK +4.3%

NYK +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	17.6	15.5	102.2	101.2	100.9
season	16.4	16.4		99.2	95.2
opponent	15.1	16.1		104.9	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.9	17.0	15.6	16.9	15.5
CHI	19.3	17.2	15.7	18.4	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	78	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-11	27	15.2	18.0	-2.81	17.8	16.2	1.64
Marcus Camby	69	67	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-6	17	15.2	16.6	-1.43	17.7	17.2	0.56
Larry Johnson	68	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-8	21	16.2	13.4	2.76	17.7	17.3	0.43
Latrell Sprewell	65	63	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	1	3	15.7	15.2	0.45	18.0	16.6	1.32
Chris Childs	45	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.52	-6	11	-17	16.8	14.3	2.46	16.5	18.7	-2.10
Erick Strickland	18	15	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	-1	7	14.2	15.9	-1.65	17.9	17.5	0.39
Glen Rice	52	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	4	-3	14.8	16.6	-1.81	18.2	16.7	1.54
Kurt Thomas	41	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.30	-14	19	-33	15.0	16.0	-1.00	17.2	17.9	-0.70
Luc Longley	9	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	11	-17	18.6	15.2	3.36	14.4	18.0	-3.54

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Tarlac	57	57	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.07	1	-6	7	17.3	18.3	-1.01	14.8	16.8	-2.04
Marcus Fizer	36	40	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.32	12	-17	29	16.0	18.8	-2.80	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Khalid El-Amin	67	69	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.49	15	-20	35	17.3	18.6	-1.27	16.0	14.0	1.99
Corey Benjamin	18	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	4	-13	16.1	18.0	-1.90	17.3	15.0	2.35
Jamal Crawford	13	13	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	8	-21	21.3	16.9	4.36	10.2	16.5	-6.31
Ron Mercer	76	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	0	-5	17.9	15.1	2.80	15.3	17.5	-2.29
Elton Brand	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	4	-13	18.0	15.5	2.46	15.1	17.4	-2.31
Metta World Peace	57	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	6	-17	17.7	17.4	0.38	16.5	13.3	3.17
Michael Ruffin	28	32	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	1	-7	18.3	17.3	1.01	16.8	14.8	2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 108, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.54,0.22,0.14,0.28,0.33,0.1,0	92.1%
MIA 100, CLE 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	91.9%
GSW 89, DEN 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.11,0.22,0.15,0	91.6%