inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 94 Excitement9.8 [61] MVPTerry Porter (SAS): +54.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves 99 Comeback4.4 [219] LVPAvery Johnson (SAS): -50.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Porter0.540,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.6,0.540.130.41-0.00989%0.561-0.0200%0.00
Malik Rose0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.00872%0.121-0.03250%-0.01
Danny Ferry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.00373%0.023-0.08580%-0.00
David Robinson-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001338%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Derek Anderson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.040.00957%0.014-0.11367%-0.00
Sean Elliott-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.021030%-0.042-0.10333%-0.02
Tim Duncan-0.180,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.18,-0.18-0.09-0.10-0.012542%-0.102-0.0830%-0.05
Avery Johnson-0.510,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.51,-0.51,-0.51-0.16-0.35-0.00633%-0.234-0.27633%-0.21

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.110.090.011470%0.291-0.092100%0.01
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.190.190.010.190.001870%0.497-0.291070%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.06-0.02739%0.031-0.02425%-0.04
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.01667%0.062-0.0500%0.00
William Avery0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.00350%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Todd Day0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00540%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.43,-0.43,-0.36,-0.31,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.01-0.021546%0.243-0.285100%0.07
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01839%-0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.82.432.514.726.01.829.01.018.1149.3
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +42.6%
MIN +25.3%
SAS -4.5%
SAS -15.7%
MIN +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game16.714.615.592.298.0100.9
season15.915.0103.4102.9
opponent15.915.5101.796.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS18.318.015.815.216.516.7
MIN15.115.511.916.813.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Rose45460.12-0.620.75-0.149-142316.217.2-0.9815.014.20.79
Danny Ferry29290.09-0.590.69-0.179-142316.616.8-0.1915.214.30.91
Terry Porter40400.08-0.580.65-0.3113-183116.716.7-0.0416.213.62.62
Antonio Daniels36350.02-0.520.55-0.156-111716.716.70.0414.914.40.49
Avery Johnson6564-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.17-94-1316.916.50.4214.914.10.72
Tim Duncan8684-0.510.01-0.52-0.33-61-716.816.60.1914.216.4-2.11
Sean Elliott7372-0.590.09-0.69-0.18-149-2316.816.60.1914.315.2-0.91
David Robinson7372-0.620.12-0.73-0.23-138-2117.016.01.0614.714.20.49
Derek Anderson6363-0.660.16-0.82-0.08-2015-3516.617.0-0.4013.117.0-3.86

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Peeler74770.77-0.271.050.2518-133114.115.8-1.6716.417.8-1.37
Wally Szczerbiak76770.70-0.200.900.2914-92314.116.0-1.8217.215.22.07
Rasho Nesterovic63650.65-0.150.800.3012-71914.215.2-1.0316.617.0-0.47
Chauncey Billups85860.63-0.130.760.2513-82114.117.1-3.0116.816.20.64
Kevin Garnett85850.480.020.460.287-2914.713.90.8517.115.12.00
Dean Garrett88-0.010.51-0.520.05-27-913.714.7-0.9219.016.52.47
William Avery1717-0.120.62-0.730.12-813-2116.314.22.0416.216.8-0.59
LaPhonso Ellis4545-0.130.63-0.750.14-914-2315.414.01.3716.217.2-0.98
Sam Mitchell2223-0.210.71-0.920.03-813-2115.714.31.4515.617.1-1.44
Todd Day3027-0.270.77-1.040.08-1217-2915.914.01.8616.816.70.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.83,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.55,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 94, DET 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.27,189.0%
UTA 108, MIL 1090.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.54,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.42,188.5%
LAC 120, MEM 1250.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.84,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.22,0.42,187.6%