NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	9.7 [70]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +37.9%
Miami Heat	89		Comeback	6.4 [233]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -28.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.4,0.4,0.27,0.22,0.35,0.35	0.01	0.36	0.02	14	64%	0.52	4	-0.17	8	75%	0.00
Tim James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	75%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	14	50%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.17	-0.08	9	22%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	8	39%	-0.06	3	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29	-0.03	-0.26	-0.00	23	53%	-0.17	3	-0.12	12	83%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.38	0.38	0.01	0.36	-0.01	15	53%	0.43	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.10
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	13	68%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	11	60%	0.26	4	-0.34	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	8	40%	-0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.09	-0.19	0.00	8	33%	-0.17	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.7	2.6	28.0	15.5	28.5	1.6	41.2	1.6	10.5	151.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +53.8%

MIA +13.8%

CHH -14.0%

MIA +2.2%

CHH -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIA	NBA	CHH	MIA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	15.5	86.0	91.8	100.9
season	15.8	16.3		99.7	98.4
opponent	16.1	15.6		96.9	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHH	14.2	19.4	15.7	15.2	17.8	16.2
MIA	16.5	14.9	17.0	15.4	17.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	3	-9	14.8	16.5	-1.69	18.4	15.5	2.91
Eddie Robinson	8	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	7	-17	21.6	15.7	5.90	19.1	15.8	3.32
Derrick Coleman	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	5	-13	14.7	16.8	-2.11	18.0	15.3	2.71
Hersey Hawkins	20	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	1	-5	14.8	16.5	-1.69	16.5	16.0	0.51
Baron Davis	77	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-7	11	16.4	15.4	0.99	15.8	17.0	-1.26
Jamal Mashburn	78	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-7	11	16.4	15.6	0.72	15.8	17.3	-1.47
Tim James	22	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	4	-11	15.6	16.4	-0.72	17.3	15.8	1.47
P.J. Brown	72	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-8	13	16.8	14.7	2.11	15.3	18.0	-2.71
David Wesley	95	94	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-7	11	15.8	23.0	-7.16	16.0	19.3	-3.35
Elden Campbell	80	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-6	9	16.5	14.8	1.69	15.5	18.4	-2.91

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	48	48	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-11	25	15.7	16.4	-0.74	16.8	15.6	1.18
Bruce Bowen	60	62	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.28	14	-11	25	15.8	16.5	-0.65	16.1	16.3	-0.14
A.C. Green	24	25	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	-11	25	16.4	16.0	0.44	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Duane Causwell	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	5	-7	16.6	14.9	1.71	16.8	15.1	1.64
Brian Grant	90	93	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.38	-8	11	-19	15.9	18.3	-2.37	15.8	21.6	-5.78
Eddie Jones	70	72	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	3	-3	16.3	15.5	0.78	16.0	16.8	-0.86
Anthony Mason	62	66	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	7	-11	15.7	16.7	-1.03	16.3	16.0	0.35
Tim Hardaway	66	68	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.39	-13	16	-29	16.3	15.7	0.55	16.1	16.4	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 123, TOR 124	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.79,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.24,0.28,0.09,0.42,1	89.1%
MEM 93, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.67,0.85,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	88.9%
ATL 102, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	88.5%