NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	6.8 [474]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): +26.6%
Detroit Pistons	116		Comeback	1.4 [670]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -19.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.19	0.08	0.00	18	72%	0.31	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Jalen Brunson	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15	0.11	0.09	0.04	20	57%	0.17	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.03
Mikal Bridges	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	69%	0.18	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
OG Anunoby	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	17	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Miles McBride	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.03	-0.00	9	90%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Duren	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	73%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.16	-0.01	0.05	13	83%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	14	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	9	28%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	25	45%	-0.03	6	-0.16	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.0	2.8	37.0	16.0	35.2	3.3	42.1	173.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +24.0%

NYK +7.9%

NYK +3.7%

NYK +13.6%

NYK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	14.4	118.0	118.4	113.1
season	15.2	14.1		116.8	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.1	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	13.5	16.6	16.7	15.3
DET	14.8	14.8	13.4	11.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	82	80	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-6	14	14.8	17.9	-3.18	13.9	12.8	1.17
Josh Hart	86	84	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-3	8	14.9	18.3	-3.43	13.9	13.0	0.86
OG Anunoby	91	89	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	15.0	18.6	-3.53	13.4	17.2	-3.84
Karl-Anthony Towns	83	80	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	-6	14	16.0	12.0	4.02	14.3	11.1	3.28
Mikal Bridges	83	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.46	-4	6	-10	15.1	16.4	-1.22	13.6	14.5	-0.94
Miles McBride	17	19	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	-6	14	16.4	15.1	1.22	13.8	13.7	0.07
Mitchell Robinson	34	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	9	-16	14.8	15.6	-0.87	12.1	14.7	-2.52
Landry Shamet	6	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	20.8	15.0	5.84	19.8	13.4	6.39
Cameron Payne	18	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	10	-18	17.9	14.8	3.18	13.5	13.8	-0.32

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Holland II	25	24	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-9	16	13.0	14.0	-0.93	17.5	14.7	2.79
Tobias Harris	61	64	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.39	10	-12	22	14.0	13.3	0.70	15.8	14.5	1.31
Paul Reed	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	3	-8	13.0	14.1	-1.03	17.6	14.4	3.18
Ausar Thompson	37	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	5	-12	14.3	13.4	0.95	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Dennis Schroder	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-2	2	13.6	14.0	-0.41	17.3	12.8	4.51
Jalen Duren	67	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-5	8	14.1	13.0	1.03	14.4	17.6	-3.18
Tim Hardaway Jr.	72	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-1	0	14.5	11.7	2.73	14.7	17.2	-2.51
Cade Cunningham	89	90	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	2	-6	13.4	17.2	-3.84	14.9	19.0	-4.07
Malik Beasley	51	51	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.22	-13	11	-24	13.1	14.4	-1.29	13.5	17.2	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.07,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, CHI 67	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.2%
NYK 100, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0	92.1%
HOU 104, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.27,0	91.9%