NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	8.0 [165]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +38.7%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	2.4 [128]		LVP	Derrick White (BOS): -12.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Garza	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.07
Payton Pritchard	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.02	0.07	-0.06	-0.01	22	52%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Baylor Scheierman	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.21,-0.12	-0.10	-0.10	-0.08	21	41%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.39	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.00	15	66%	0.44	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	12	83%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	5	42%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	14	46%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	8	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	25.1	0.0	22.6	0.0	29.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +58.9%

BOS -4.0%

BOS -5.8%

BOS -1.8%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	14.2	103.2	104.3	113.6
season	15.1	13.9		120.4	107.5
opponent	14.1	14.5		115.2	113.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.7	17.2	15.2	14.5	16.4
IND	13.3	12.8	13.6	18.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Garza	87	88	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	0	-2	16.1	20.0	-3.87	14.7	9.3	5.42
Hugo Gonz�lez	51	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	5	-12	16.6	16.1	0.43	13.6	15.4	-1.83
Jordan Walsh	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-1	0	15.8	19.6	-3.84	15.0	11.6	3.37
Anfernee Simons	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	4	-10	15.7	21.3	-5.55	14.9	11.2	3.71
Baylor Scheierman	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	3	-8	17.0	13.7	3.27	14.6	13.7	0.84
Derrick White	80	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.45	-5	3	-8	16.8	14.0	2.76	14.3	14.8	-0.42
Payton Pritchard	87	88	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	4	-10	16.5	15.2	1.29	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Sam Hauser	73	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.45	-9	7	-16	16.8	14.9	1.88	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Neemias Queta	66	65	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.27	-15	13	-28	16.3	16.6	-0.36	14.4	14.3	0.14

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nembhard	79	79	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.48	13	-11	24	14.2	15.3	-1.03	16.6	14.9	1.79
Pascal Siakam	83	83	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.49	10	-8	18	14.4	14.5	-0.06	16.6	14.6	1.99
Jay Huff	69	72	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.25	14	-12	26	14.5	14.1	0.39	16.8	14.9	1.96
Jarace Walker	84	84	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-6	14	14.6	12.6	2.02	15.9	21.0	-5.12
Aaron Nesmith	94	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.4	0.0	14.40	16.4	0.0	16.38
Ben Sheppard	90	90	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	0	2	14.6	9.5	5.12	16.4	17.0	-0.64
Johnny Furphy	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-12	26	12.3	17.0	-4.69	17.8	14.5	3.25
Quenton Jackson	33	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	-3	8	15.3	13.9	1.38	16.0	16.6	-0.55
T.J. McConnell	54	54	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	-3	8	14.3	14.6	-0.34	16.4	16.3	0.07
Micah Potter	65	65	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-4	10	13.6	16.2	-2.66	17.3	14.3	2.94
Tony Bradley	14	15	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.16	1	1	0	18.0	13.8	4.22	16.5	16.3	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.72,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.73,1	92.2%
POR 81, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.82,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.72,1	92.0%
TOR 98, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	91.6%