NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	124		Excitement	11.5 [13]		MVP	Dennis Schr�der (SAC): +90.5%
Sacramento Kings	125		Comeback	60.0 [6]		LVP	Kevin Durant (HOU): -19.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.60	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.6	0.07	0.53	-0.00	16	51%	0.60	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	10	75%	0.25	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Tari Eason	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.00	8	89%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.06	0.01	17	70%	0.23	4	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	13	52%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.19	0.02	-0.21	0.00	21	50%	-0.16	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schr�der	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.14,0.91	0.91	0.14	0.77	0.01	13	71%	0.92	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.07
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	-0.01	0.01	14	79%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	0.01	17	63%	0.21	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.10
Dylan Cardwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxime Raynaud	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	42%	-0.00	1	-0.01	8	37%	-0.07
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nique Clifford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,0.17,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	24	42%	0.05	4	-0.18	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	0.3	28.3	0.0	31.3	0.0	34.7	0.0	19.4	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.7	2.3	16.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.5%

HOU -10.6%

SAC +20.3%

HOU -0.4%

SAC +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.1	14.1	119.2	119.0	113.6
season	15.2	14.1		119.6	107.6
opponent	14.0	13.9		117.9	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.7	14.2	17.9	17.8	15.8	16.3
SAC	15.4	14.6	14.9	11.9	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	66	66	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.06	8	-9	17	14.8	18.8	-3.97	14.8	12.8	2.00
Reed Sheppard	98	99	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-3	5	15.9	22.8	-6.94	14.4	8.7	5.77
Alperen Sengun	98	100	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-1	1	16.1	20.2	-4.11	14.2	12.8	1.37
Tari Eason	72	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	4	-9	16.5	15.9	0.57	14.8	12.7	2.17
Josh Okogie	91	93	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	0	-1	15.9	19.1	-3.18	14.2	13.0	1.25
Kevin Durant	104	105	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	0	-1	16.3	0.0	16.30	14.1	0.0	14.10
Amen Thompson	104	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	16.3	0.0	16.30	14.1	0.0	14.10
Jabari Smith Jr.	93	94	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.44	-10	9	-19	16.8	12.0	4.81	14.0	15.2	-1.20

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schr�der	93	92	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-7	15	14.0	14.7	-0.73	16.8	12.2	4.67
Russell Westbrook	89	88	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.52	4	-3	7	14.1	14.1	-0.02	16.1	17.6	-1.49
Keegan Murray	104	104	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	-2	5	14.2	1.0	13.23	16.3	0.0	16.30
Dylan Cardwell	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	4	-7	14.8	12.5	2.21	16.3	16.4	-0.10
DeMar DeRozan	99	97	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	0	1	14.1	14.7	-0.60	16.1	19.1	-3.05
Maxime Raynaud	80	80	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	-1	3	14.2	13.8	0.35	16.6	15.4	1.15
Nique Clifford	76	76	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	-5	11	14.7	12.7	2.00	16.5	15.7	0.75
Precious Achiuwa	56	56	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	8	-15	14.7	13.4	1.23	14.9	17.9	-2.97
Malik Monk	23	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.12	2	-1	3	14.4	14.0	0.42	17.7	15.9	1.79
Keon Ellis	48	48	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	12	-23	15.0	13.4	1.65	14.9	17.5	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.15,0.36,0.05,0.04,0.5,0.62,0.46,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, SAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.13,1	89.1%
TOR 120, ATL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.55,0.58,1	89.1%
DET 98, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.1,0.08,0	88.9%