WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	89		Excitement	1.6 [159]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +25.8%
Indiana Fever	99		Comeback	3.8 [90]		LVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): -8.0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackie Young	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.09	0.02	19	61%	0.24	1	-0.02	13	100%	0.07
Jewell Loyd	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.01	4	80%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.04	0.06	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Stephanie Talbot	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.04	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Chelsea Gray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mai Yamamoto	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
A'ja Wilson	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.09	-0.07	0.09	11	63%	0.05	4	-0.13	13	92%	0.03

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.14	0.05	16	60%	0.26	0	0.00	11	82%	0.05
Aliyah Boston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.21	0.01	0.11	15	61%	0.17	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.06
Raven Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caitlin Clark	0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	18	67%	0.21	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.04	0.03	5	36%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Makayla Timpson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	IND	WNBA	LVA	IND	WNBA
this game	15.7	13.5	15.1	103.5	126.9	109.3
season	15.1	14.5		116.2	118.1
opponent	15.3	15.1		111.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	15.6	16.7	15.9	14.5	15.7
IND	12.1	11.7	14.1	16.4	13.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	10%	88%	2%	0.0%	33.3%	44.2%	0.0%	0.0%
IND	8%	87%	4%	0.0%	66.7%	51.6%	33.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jackie Young	4	25%	15	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mai Yamamoto	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	1	100%	9	44%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	6	33%	52	44%	1	0%	0	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	2	50%	14	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	1	100%	12	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Raven Johnson	1	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	1	100%	17	47%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	4	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	1	100%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Makayla Timpson	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	6	67%	62	52%	3	33%	0	0%