WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	71		Excitement	1.3 [236]		MVP	Jonquel Jones (NYL): +16.1%
New York Liberty	87		Comeback	1.0 [145]		LVP	Pauline Astier (NYL): -6.2%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nia Brodie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	7	59%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Courtney Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	17	51%	0.09	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Aari McDonald	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.01	0.04	14	44%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Kayla McBride	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	13	47%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Olivia Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.03	-0.04	8	28%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Natasha Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	14	70%	0.17	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.07	-0.05	15	60%	0.14	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	16	51%	0.17	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.05
Xu Han	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.06	-0.04	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marine Johannes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leonie Fiebich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rebekah Gardner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pauline Astier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYL	WNBA	MIN	NYL	WNBA
this game	16.8	20.0	15.1	112.7	129.9	109.3
season	14.6	15.4		115.4	113.7
opponent	15.3	15.9		109.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	19.1	16.0	16.4	15.7	16.8
NYL	17.4	19.3	20.8	22.8	20.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	16%	84%	0%	0.0%	54.5%	35.1%	0.0%	0.0%
NYL	23%	77%	0%	0.0%	43.7%	47.2%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nia Brodie	1	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	4	75%	13	38%	0	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	2	50%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	2	50%	12	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	2	50%	11	27%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Miles	0	0%	8	12%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	11	55%	57	35%	0	0%	0	0%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	3	67%	11	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	2	50%	13	46%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	6	33%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Xu Han	2	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Marine Johannes	2	100%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Leonie Fiebich	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekah Gardner	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Pauline Astier	1	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	16	44%	53	47%	0	0%	0	0%