WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	95		Excitement	85.2 [1]		MVP	Courtney Williams (MIN): +67.6%
New York Liberty	93		Comeback	276.8 [2]		LVP	Sabrina Ionescu (NYL): -11.4%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Williams	0.68	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.62,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.71,0.68	0.12	0.60	0.05	18	59%	0.82	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.07
Napheesa Collier	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.39	0.14	0.29	0.04	16	62%	0.43	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Alanna Smith	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.00	0.07	-0.05	8	50%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Natisha Hiedeman	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	7	67%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kayla McBride	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.23	-0.05	0.08	11	79%	0.18	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Myisha Hines-Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.19,0.42	0.42	0.24	0.24	0.05	14	73%	0.47	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Leonie Fiebich	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.05	-0.00	14	61%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.13	0.13	-0.04	0.13	-0.04	21	37%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.27
Nyara Sabally	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	7	53%	0.04	3	-0.13	1	100%	-0.01
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.23,-0.17,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.09	-0.05	26	37%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYL	WNBA	MIN	NYL	WNBA
this game	14.7	16.8	14.8	111.8	108.1	100.5
season	14.9	14.6		101.9	105.1
opponent	15.2	15.3		95.5	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	14.9	13.9	15.9	14.7
NYL	15.5	17.4	17.8	18.6	16.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	10%	75%	10%	5.6%	85.7%	50.0%	78.6%	62.5%
NYL	4%	78%	14%	3.3%	62.5%	46.4%	34.6%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Williams	3	67%	9	44%	3	83%	3	50%
Napheesa Collier	1	100%	12	50%	2	100%	1	100%
Alanna Smith	1	0%	6	42%	1	100%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	1	150%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	1	150%	10	65%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	7	86%	53	50%	7	79%	4	62%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	1	100%	9	67%	3	50%	1	100%
Leonie Fiebich	0	0%	12	62%	2	50%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	17	41%	2	0%	2	0%
Nyara Sabally	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	1	150%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	1	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Sabrina Ionescu	1	0%	20	37%	5	40%	0	0%
Liberty	4	62%	70	46%	13	35%	3	33%