WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	57		Excitement	52.7 [1]		MVP	Toni Foster (PHO): +85.8%
Los Angeles Sparks	56		Comeback	25.0 [2]		LVP	Bridget Pettis (PHO): -21.1%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Foster	0.86	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,0.86	-0.02	0.90	0.02	8	39%	0.88	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Michele Timms	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.37	0.06	0.32	-0.00	16	50%	0.42	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.09
Marlies Askamp	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	45%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jennifer Gillom	-0.01	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.02	15	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Nancy Lieberman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tia Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Umeki Webb	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Pettis	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.01,-0.21	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	12	12%	-0.20	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Heidi Burge	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.35	0.35	-0.03	0.36	-0.02	10	37%	0.39	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.13
Katrina Colleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamecka Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.18	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Linda Burgess	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.16	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Mwadi Mabika	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daedra Charles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lisa Leslie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	9	32%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Penny Toler	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	8	42%	0.01	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Jamila Wideman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	7	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	LAS	WNBA	PHO	LAS	WNBA
this game	17.3	16.2	15.7	78.1	80.0	89.0
season	15.1	14.3		86.8	91.7
opponent	16.1	16.0		88.9	83.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	17.6	17.2	16.6	18.2	17.3
LAS	12.4	17.0	15.9	20.3	16.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	91%	6%	2.9%	0.0%	34.7%	75.0%	50.0%
LAS	2%	97%	2%	0.0%	0.0%	40.2%	100.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Toni Foster	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	1	100%
Michele Timms	0	0%	15	40%	1	150%	0	0%
Marlies Askamp	0	0%	9	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Jennifer Gillom	0	0%	13	58%	2	0%	0	0%
Nancy Lieberman	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tia Jackson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Umeki Webb	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Pettis	0	0%	10	0%	1	150%	1	0%
Mercury	0	0%	62	35%	4	75%	2	50%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Heidi Burge	0	0%	10	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Katrina Colleton	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamecka Dixon	0	0%	6	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Linda Burgess	1	0%	6	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Mwadi Mabika	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Daedra Charles	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Lisa Leslie	0	0%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Penny Toler	0	0%	8	31%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamila Wideman	0	0%	7	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	1	0%	56	40%	1	100%	0	0%