WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	71		Excitement	1.2 [260]		MVP	Aaliyah Edwards (CON): +23.4%
Dallas Wings	97		Comeback	1.0 [205]		LVP	Diamond Miller (CON): -10.3%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaliyah Edwards	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.04	-0.03	16	63%	0.24	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.03
Charlisse Leger-Walker	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	14	61%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raegan Beers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hailey Van Lith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Saniya Rivers	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	11	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Gianna Kneepkens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashlon Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nell Angloma	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	2	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Diamond Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	14	24%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Paige Bueckers	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.04	13	54%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.03	0.06	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Alanna Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	4	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jessica Shepard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	6	74%	0.13	5	-0.07	11	82%	0.00
Maddy Siegrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	7	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Awak Kuier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aziaha James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Li Yueru	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.00	3	-0.01	4	75%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	DAL	WNBA	CON	DAL	WNBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.1	92.2	129.3	109.3
season	15.1	15.6		98.4	113.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		107.1	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.4	12.7	18.8	19.2	16.3
DAL	14.0	16.0	15.4	15.9	15.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	37%	63%	0%	0.0%	22.2%	39.1%	0.0%	0.0%
DAL	31%	69%	0%	0.0%	47.1%	60.5%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aaliyah Edwards	6	17%	10	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Charlisse Leger-Walker	5	40%	9	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Raegan Beers	2	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Hailey Van Lith	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Saniya Rivers	2	50%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Gianna Kneepkens	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ashlon Jackson	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nell Angloma	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	4	0%	10	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	27	22%	46	39%	0	0%	0	0%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale	1	0%	11	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Paige Bueckers	2	0%	11	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	1	100%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	1	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	5	60%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Awak Kuier	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Aziaha James	6	67%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Li Yueru	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	17	47%	38	61%	0	0%	0	0%