WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	90		Excitement	1.2 [268]		MVP	Nneka Ogwumike (LAS): +9.6%
Seattle Storm	74		Comeback	1.0 [208]		LVP	Dominique Malonga (SEA): -5.0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	17	66%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chance Gray	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	4	112%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rae Burrell	0.03	0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	18	50%	0.05	4	-0.01	8	100%	0.01
Monique Akoa Makani	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	3	100%	0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tonie Morgan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Cameron Brink	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.15	-0.00	-0.10	15	32%	0.03	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	17	38%	0.04	3	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Jordan Horston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Flau'jae Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	18	47%	0.04	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Malonga	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.06	21	40%	-0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	SEA	WNBA	LAS	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.5	13.6	15.1	104.7	87.1	109.3
season	14.4	15.0		106.4	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		109.6	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.0	13.5	15.7	14.8	14.5
SEA	13.9	13.7	13.6	13.0	13.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	58%	42%	0%	0.0%	33.3%	58.1%	0.0%	0.0%
SEA	56%	44%	0%	0.0%	37.8%	28.6%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	9	44%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Chance Gray	1	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rae Burrell	11	45%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Akoa Makani	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	3	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Tonie Morgan	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Cameron Brink	11	9%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	42	33%	31	58%	0	0%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Zia Cooke	10	20%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Flau'jae Johnson	10	40%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	3	33%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	6	50%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dominique Malonga	11	55%	10	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	45	38%	35	29%	0	0%	0	0%