WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	86		Excitement	34.9 [2]		MVP	Chelsea Gray (LVA): +93.5%
Indiana Fever	84		Comeback	124.0 [5]		LVP	Makayla Timpson (IND): -25.6%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0.94	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.94	-0.11	0.94	-0.10	10	55%	1.12	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
A'ja Wilson	0.56	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,0.06,0.17,0.09,0.2,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.56,0.56	0.02	0.52	-0.03	25	46%	0.65	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.25
NaLyssa Smith	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	61%	0.13	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Stephanie Talbot	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	9	45%	0.11	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.03
Dana Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	-0.21	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21	0.01	-0.21	0.01	21	47%	-0.04	3	-0.17	5	80%	-0.01

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.56	0.56	0.17	0.50	0.11	18	64%	0.62	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.07
Caitlin Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,0,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.27	0.27	-0.13	0.41	0.00	20	43%	0.42	8	-0.14	6	67%	-0.03
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.15	0.01	15	70%	0.32	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sophie Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	2	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	1	25%	-0.02	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Makayla Timpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.18	-0.01	6	33%	-0.14	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	IND	WNBA	LVA	IND	WNBA
this game	16.2	14.0	15.1	96.6	93.3	109.4
season	15.1	14.6		115.3	118.2
opponent	15.2	15.1		111.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	17.2	16.8	15.4	16.2	16.2
IND	12.8	13.9	15.4	12.2	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	5%	69%	19%	8.1%	25.0%	37.3%	56.2%	42.9%
IND	3%	60%	25%	11.9%	50.0%	52.5%	29.4%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	7	29%	1	0%	2	100%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	14	21%	8	75%	3	33%
NaLyssa Smith	1	100%	8	62%	2	50%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	1	0%	6	33%	2	100%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	2	0%	15	53%	2	0%	2	0%
Aces	4	25%	59	37%	16	56%	7	43%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	1	100%	12	58%	4	25%	1	100%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	11	27%	6	33%	3	67%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	10	70%	3	33%	2	50%
Monique Billings	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Makayla Timpson	1	0%	2	100%	1	0%	2	0%
Fever	2	50%	40	52%	17	29%	8	50%