WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Portland Fire	83		Excitement	1.3 [165]		MVP	Jackie Young (LVA): +21.3%
Las Vegas Aces	98		Comeback	1.0 [199]		LVP	Teja Oblak (PDX): -7.6%

Portland Fire
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Megan DiLeo	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Frieda Buhner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.02	0.06	5	89%	0.12	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Carla Leite	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karlie Samuelson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	15	41%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nyadiew Puoch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Serah Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Holly Winterburn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.06	6	44%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	0%	-0.07
Teja Oblak	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jackie Young	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.06	0.04	14	76%	0.24	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.25	0.04	0.08	10	82%	0.25	3	-0.05	14	93%	0.04
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	9	81%	0.13	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brianna Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justine Pissott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PDX	LVA	WNBA	PDX	LVA	WNBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.1	106.4	124.1	109.1
season	15.5	15.0		107.2	115.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.3	116.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PDX	16.5	15.4	16.1	14.5	15.6
LVA	15.1	16.2	14.7	14.0	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PDX	30%	70%	0%	0.0%	35.0%	42.6%	0.0%	0.0%
LVA	26%	74%	0%	0.0%	57.1%	60.0%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Portland Fire
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Megan DiLeo	2	50%	11	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Frieda Buhner	2	50%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Carla Leite	2	50%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	3	33%	12	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Nyadiew Puoch	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Serah Williams	1	100%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Holly Winterburn	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	2	50%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Teja Oblak	2	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Fire	20	35%	47	43%	0	0%	0	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jackie Young	2	50%	12	67%	0	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	2	100%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	1	100%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	2	50%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	4	50%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Justine Pissott	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	1	100%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	14	57%	40	60%	0	0%	0	0%