WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	105		Excitement	1.6 [111]		MVP	Caitlin Clark (IND): +36.2%
Seattle Storm	95		Comeback	1.1 [186]		LVP	Jade Melbourne (SEA): -6.3%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caitlin Clark	0.36	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.19	0.17	-0.00	14	84%	0.40	4	-0.04	10	100%	0.06
Kelsey Mitchell	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.13	0.02	18	67%	0.29	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Myisha Hines-Allen	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.00	4	62%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sophie Cunningham	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aliyah Boston	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monique Billings	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	6	78%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Makayla Timpson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natisha Hiedeman	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.15	0.09	20	69%	0.28	0	0.00	8	62%	0.05
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.15	0.05	8	45%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Flau'jae Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	15	41%	0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Jordan Horston	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Awa Fam	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	13	39%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Katie Lou Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mackenzie Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	83%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jade Melbourne	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	WNBA	IND	SEA	WNBA
this game	13.9	16.7	15.1	132.9	121.8	109.1
season	14.5	15.1		117.2	103.6
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.1	15.9	14.8	13.1	13.9
SEA	17.3	14.2	16.1	19.6	16.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	20%	77%	3%	0.0%	61.5%	51.0%	0.0%	0.0%
SEA	18%	78%	4%	0.0%	42.9%	41.9%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Caitlin Clark	2	50%	12	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	4	75%	14	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	1	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	3	67%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Makayla Timpson	2	100%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	1	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Fever	13	62%	49	51%	2	0%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natisha Hiedeman	3	67%	16	56%	1	0%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	1	0%	5	40%	2	0%	0	0%
Flau'jae Johnson	1	0%	14	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	3	33%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Awa Fam	4	25%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Mackenzie Holmes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	1	100%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	14	43%	62	42%	3	0%	0	0%