WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Toronto Tempo	93		Excitement	1.9 [86]		MVP	Antonia Delaere (MIN): +27.7%
Minnesota Lynx	100		Comeback	1.9 [190]		LVP	Kiki Rice (TOR): -13.0%

Toronto Tempo
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julie Allemand	0.14	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.07	-0.03	5	100%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	3	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laura Juskaite	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.07	0.02	14	60%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Maria Conde	0.06	0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	16	59%	0.14	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Temi Fagbenle	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Marina Mabrey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03	0.08	0.04	0.09	17	60%	0.11	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.04
Teonni Key	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiki Rice	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	6	27%	-0.05	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonia Delaere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.19	0.00	5	120%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.14	-0.01	10	82%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olivia Miles	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.15	-0.01	17	67%	0.28	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	7	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Eliska Hamzova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorka Juhasz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	0.03	2	33%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	11	23%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIN	WNBA	TOR	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.9	13.7	15.1	113.4	116.3	109.1
season	14.6	14.5		109.4	115.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		103.7	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.6	15.0	16.6	13.5	14.9
MIN	13.4	13.6	11.5	16.5	13.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
TOR	23%	74%	3%	0.0%	47.1%	44.4%	50.0%	0.0%
MIN	21%	76%	3%	0.0%	53.3%	50.9%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Toronto Tempo
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Julie Allemand	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Laura Juskaite	1	0%	12	58%	1	0%	0	0%
Maria Conde	4	50%	12	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	2	50%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	6	50%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Teonni Key	1	100%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiki Rice	3	33%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tempo	17	47%	54	44%	2	50%	0	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Antonia Delaere	1	100%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	1	0%	9	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Miles	4	50%	13	54%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	1	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	4	75%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Eliska Hamzova	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Dorka Juhasz	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	1	0%	10	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	15	53%	55	51%	2	50%	0	0%