WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	84		Excitement	1.5 [134]		MVP	Sonia Citron (WAS): +15.9%
Washington Mystics	92		Comeback	2.6 [135]		LVP	Charlisse Leger-Walker (CON): -9.8%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aneesah Morrow	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.11	0.07	16	58%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.03	0.08	10	64%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Kennedy Burke	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	8	69%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Diamond Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.04	0.05	7	80%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Leila Lacan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.11	0.03	-0.10	13	35%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nell Angloma	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saniya Rivers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	0.01	0.12	10	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.09
Raegan Beers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlisse Leger-Walker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sonia Citron	0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	9	81%	0.25	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.01
Kiki Iriafen	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.06	-0.05	22	43%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Shakira Austin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	16	46%	0.16	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.02
Lauren Betts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	3	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Cotie McMahon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	5	61%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Georgia Amoore	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	6	67%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alicia Florez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Angela Dugalic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	WAS	WNBA	CON	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.1	102.4	113.6	109.1
season	14.9	15.8		99.2	100.8
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.2	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	14.7	15.6	15.7	13.2	14.8
WAS	12.7	13.7	14.3	18.7	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	27%	72%	1%	0.0%	35.0%	42.6%	100.0%	0.0%
WAS	34%	66%	0%	0.0%	21.7%	54.5%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aneesah Morrow	4	25%	12	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	2	50%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	3	67%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond Miller	3	67%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Leila Lacan	2	0%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Nell Angloma	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Saniya Rivers	2	0%	7	43%	1	100%	0	0%
Raegan Beers	1	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Charlisse Leger-Walker	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	20	35%	54	43%	1	100%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sonia Citron	3	33%	6	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiki Iriafen	10	20%	12	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	5	20%	11	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Lauren Betts	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Cotie McMahon	2	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	1	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Georgia Amoore	2	50%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alicia Florez	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Angela Dugalic	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	23	22%	44	55%	0	0%	0	0%