WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Golden State Valkyries	62		Excitement	1.4 [104]		MVP	Tiffany Hayes (GSV): +17.6%
Washington Mystics	49		Comeback	1.9 [66]		LVP	Michaela Onyenwere (WAS): -13.4%

Golden State Valkyries
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.11	-0.03	7	64%	0.18	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaitlyn Chen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.07	0.05	9	74%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Veronica Burton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	33%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kaila Charles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Janelle Salaun	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.02	-0.04	13	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laeticia Amihere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Thornton	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	7	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cotie McMahon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.05	-0.06	7	47%	0.10	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Kiki Iriafen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lauren Betts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	7	47%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lucy Olsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.03	0.06	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Cassandre Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Angela Dugalic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georgia Amoore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	7	21%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shakira Austin	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	11	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Alicia Florez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	15%	-0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSV	WAS	WNBA	GSV	WAS	WNBA
this game	19.9	16.9	15.1	100.0	71.0	107.9
season	16.9	15.6		110.2	97.9
opponent	14.8	15.2		104.4	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSV	17.1	21.9	18.4	23.1	19.9
WAS	18.2	18.1	15.8	15.8	16.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
GSV	18%	81%	1%	0.0%	30.8%	35.0%	100.0%	0.0%
WAS	20%	78%	2%	0.0%	16.7%	31.9%	100.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Golden State Valkyries
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaitlyn Chen	4	75%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	2	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaila Charles	2	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Janelle Salaun	5	20%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Laeticia Amihere	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	7	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Valkyries	13	31%	60	35%	1	100%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Cotie McMahon	1	0%	5	20%	1	100%	0	0%
Kiki Iriafen	3	33%	9	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Lauren Betts	2	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Lucy Olsen	1	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cassandre Prosper	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Angela Dugalic	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Georgia Amoore	0	0%	7	14%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	3	33%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Alicia Florez	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	1	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	12	17%	47	32%	1	100%	0	0%