WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	84		Excitement	1.4 [100]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +16.9%
Las Vegas Aces	68		Comeback	1.5 [80]		LVP	Jackie Young (LVA): -8.7%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	18	56%	0.21	1	-0.04	12	83%	-0.01
Aliyah Boston	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.11	0.08	13	60%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Sophie Cunningham	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.02	6	75%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raven Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	33%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lexie Hull	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Makayla Timpson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myisha Hines-Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brianna Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	3	100%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	52%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.07	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Chelsea Gray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Chennedy Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	0.02	0.14	8	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.07	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LVA	WNBA	IND	LVA	WNBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.1	110.5	97.1	108.0
season	14.6	15.0		113.5	113.9
opponent	15.2	15.0		106.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	16.1	17.9	17.4	16.5
LVA	12.1	17.3	19.6	17.9	16.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	17%	81%	1%	0.0%	41.7%	42.1%	100.0%	0.0%
LVA	24%	76%	0%	0.0%	46.2%	39.0%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	2	0%	16	44%	0	0%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	2	50%	11	55%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophie Cunningham	1	100%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Raven Johnson	2	50%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	1	100%	8	37%	1	100%	0	0%
Makayla Timpson	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Billings	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Myisha Hines-Allen	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	1	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	12	42%	57	42%	1	100%	0	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	3	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus	3	67%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	4	25%	7	14%	0	0%	0	0%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	2	100%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	13	46%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	13	46%	41	39%	0	0%	0	0%