WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	81		Excitement	2.5 [19]		MVP	Gabby Williams (GSV): +35.0%
Golden State Valkyries	87		Comeback	1.9 [64]		LVP	Cecilia Zandalasini (GSV): -5.8%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monique Akoa Makani	0.29	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29	0.14	0.15	0.00	11	79%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noemie Brochant	0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	6	83%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.06	-0.04	11	37%	0.08	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alyssa Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05	0.19	0.03	0.17	14	63%	0.19	4	-0.14	7	57%	-0.09
Natasha Mack	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.02	0.06	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Quionche Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lexi Held	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jovana Nogic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Valkyries
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.35	0.35	0.14	0.20	-0.01	19	57%	0.39	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.18	0.02	7	63%	0.24	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Veronica Burton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.04	0.04	15	61%	0.20	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.02
Janelle Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.06	-0.02	7	65%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	3	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kaila Charles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	6	33%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kaitlyn Chen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cecilia Zandalasini	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSV	WNBA	PHX	GSV	WNBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.1	112.5	120.8	106.5
season	15.3	16.4		106.6	112.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.5	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.7	17.5	15.1	16.2	16.4
GSV	16.7	16.7	18.1	16.3	16.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHX	3%	85%	12%	0.0%	50.0%	43.6%	62.5%	0.0%
GSV	5%	75%	20%	0.0%	33.3%	45.7%	41.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Monique Akoa Makani	2	50%	7	57%	2	100%	0	0%
Noemie Brochant	0	0%	5	60%	1	100%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	9	22%	2	50%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	14	64%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Mack	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Quionche Carter	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexi Held	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	4	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Jovana Nogic	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	2	50%	55	44%	8	62%	0	0%

Golden State Valkyries
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Gabby Williams	3	33%	11	45%	5	60%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	6	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	11	64%	4	0%	0	0%
Janelle Salaun	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaila Charles	0	0%	5	20%	1	100%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaitlyn Chen	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Valkyries	3	33%	46	46%	12	42%	0	0%