WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	76		Excitement	1.2 [72]		MVP	Kayla McBride (MIN): +19.5%
Minnesota Lynx	100		Comeback	1.2 [66]		LVP	Azzi Fudd (DAL): -6.3%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arike Ogunbowale	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	73%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Jessica Shepard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aziaha James	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	13	35%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maddy Siegrist	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Li Yueru	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Paige Bueckers	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	16	68%	0.01	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alanna Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Azzi Fudd	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	-0.10	12	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.05	0.04	10	92%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.03	0.03	10	87%	0.16	4	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Olivia Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.02	0.05	10	86%	0.16	4	-0.05	8	100%	0.01
Courtney Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	10	30%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	WNBA	DAL	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.1	91.6	125.0	106.5
season	15.8	14.1		112.3	115.1
opponent	15.9	15.1		97.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	15.1	18.0	15.9	15.7
MIN	11.6	12.0	16.3	15.7	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	51%	49%	0%	0.0%	37.8%	36.1%	0.0%	0.0%
MIN	51%	49%	0%	0.0%	40.0%	67.6%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Arike Ogunbowale	5	40%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Shepard	4	75%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Aziaha James	7	29%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	1	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Li Yueru	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Paige Bueckers	9	67%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	3	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Azzi Fudd	6	17%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	37	38%	36	36%	0	0%	0	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	3	33%	7	86%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	4	75%	6	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Olivia Miles	3	100%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	6	33%	8	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	7	29%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu	8	25%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	35	40%	34	68%	0	0%	0	0%