WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	82		Excitement	2.1 [28]		MVP	Natasha Cloud (CHI): +44.0%
Chicago Sky	75		Comeback	2.5 [51]		LVP	Skylar Diggins (CHI): -12.4%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Hillmon	0.26	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.09	0.17	-0.00	12	64%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rhyne Howard	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.03	0.16	-0.05	17	47%	0.29	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordin Canada	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.11	-0.04	12	52%	0.23	4	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Allisha Gray	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.08	0.05	11	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Isobel Borlase	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Te-Hina Paopao	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Madina Okot	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Angel Reese	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	12	57%	0.09	6	-0.19	6	100%	0.09

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.18	0.28	0.03	7	75%	0.44	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Jacy Sheldon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.10	-0.00	4	75%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kamilla Cardoso	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.01	0.04	7	87%	0.15	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Azura Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.06	7	40%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabriela Jaquez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	0.01	3	37%	0.06	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	0.07	8	39%	0.03	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.05
Skylar Diggins	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	0.04	15	50%	-0.00	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	WNBA	ATL	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.1	103.8	96.2	106.5
season	15.4	14.6		106.0	98.0
opponent	14.8	14.7		104.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	17.3	13.9	15.7	15.5
CHI	14.7	15.2	16.9	13.5	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	4%	64%	31%	0.0%	66.7%	48.9%	31.8%	0.0%
CHI	8%	70%	23%	0.0%	50.0%	43.2%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	6	67%	6	33%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	2	50%	8	37%	7	43%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	10	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	7	71%	4	25%	0	0%
Isobel Borlase	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Te-Hina Paopao	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Madina Okot	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Angel Reese	1	100%	8	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Dream	3	67%	45	49%	22	32%	0	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	4	25%	3	100%	0	0%
Jacy Sheldon	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Kamilla Cardoso	1	100%	6	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Azura Stevens	1	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Taylor	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Gabriela Jaquez	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	4	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins	2	50%	11	36%	2	0%	0	0%
Sky	4	50%	37	43%	12	50%	0	0%