WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	66		Excitement	2.4 [256]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +25.6%
Las Vegas Aces	80		Comeback	1.0 [273]		LVP	Elizabeth Williams (CHI): -7.4%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michaela Onyenwere	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	7	63%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Kamilla Cardoso	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	12	42%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	4	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sevgi Uzun	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.05	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Maddy Westbeld	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.02	11	45%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.29	0.00	0.04	20	69%	0.27	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.19	0.00	0.07	14	69%	0.13	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	72%	0.10	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Megan Gustafson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kierstan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	1	0%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaliyah Nye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.02	8	35%	-0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LVA	WNBA	CHI	LVA	WNBA
this game	17.1	14.8	15.0	86.8	108.1	102.0
season	15.4	15.2		95.3	104.2
opponent	14.8	14.7		101.3	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.3	16.6	17.2	17.3	17.1
LVA	13.2	15.0	13.4	18.0	14.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	36%	64%	0%	0.0%	54.2%	39.5%	0.0%	0.0%
LVA	39%	61%	0%	0.0%	46.3%	57.0%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Michaela Onyenwere	2	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Kamilla Cardoso	2	0%	10	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	4	50%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	3	100%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	3	33%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sevgi Uzun	5	60%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Maddy Westbeld	2	50%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	3	100%	8	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	24	54%	43	40%	0	0%	0	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	8	37%	12	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	7	57%	7	79%	0	0%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	1	150%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	3	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kierstan Bell	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Nye	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	4	75%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	27	46%	43	57%	0	0%	0	0%