WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	94		Excitement	4.0 [198]		MVP	Shey Peddy (IND): +14.6%
Washington Mystics	65		Comeback	2.1 [164]		LVP	Sug Sutton (WAS): -7.6%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shey Peddy	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.21	0.02	0.08	5	130%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aliyah Boston	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	12	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.02	0.09	5	90%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aerial Powers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.01	0.09	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Natasha Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.01	0.08	10	63%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Lexie Hull	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brianna Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Odyssey Sims	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emily Engstler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	3	50%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucy Olsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shakira Austin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	11	44%	0.09	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonia Citron	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	77%	0.16	7	-0.16	4	75%	0.01
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kiki Iriafen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	8	61%	0.08	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Sug Sutton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	WNBA	IND	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.0	123.7	82.3	102.0
season	14.8	15.1		105.0	96.2
opponent	14.9	14.9		102.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	14.3	15.1	16.2	15.2
WAS	14.0	17.3	17.2	14.5	15.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	24%	76%	0%	0.0%	87.5%	51.0%	0.0%	0.0%
WAS	32%	68%	0%	0.0%	41.7%	50.0%	0.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shey Peddy	2	125%	3	133%	0	0%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	2	0%	10	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	3	100%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Aerial Powers	3	100%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	3	100%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	1	150%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Turner	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	2	50%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	16	87%	52	51%	0	0%	0	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Emily Engstler	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lucy Olsen	3	33%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	1	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	3	33%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	2	50%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Sonia Citron	3	50%	6	92%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiki Iriafen	3	67%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	2	50%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	18	42%	39	50%	0	0%	0	0%