WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Golden State Valkyries	81		Excitement	6.8 [42]		MVP	Allisha Gray (ATL): +27.1%
Atlanta Dream	90		Comeback	4.6 [36]		LVP	Temi Fágbénlé (GSV): -12.7%

Golden State Valkyries
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kate Martin	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	7	79%	0.26	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monique Billings	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.01	0.06	12	68%	0.19	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Kayla Thornton	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.03	-0.02	14	48%	0.14	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Kaitlyn Chen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laeticia Amihere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Janelle Salaün	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.13	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Veronica Burton	-0.06	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	7	79%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Temi Fágbénlé	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.11	0.02	14	73%	0.39	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.07	0.05	11	67%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brionna Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.01	9	61%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	14	50%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Brittney Griner	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	4	79%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00
Te-Hina Paopao	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSV	ATL	WNBA	GSV	ATL	WNBA
this game	13.7	16.1	14.9	100.0	112.5	100.9
season	15.4	15.5		98.2	105.7
opponent	14.7	14.7		98.5	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSV	10.4	13.7	18.0	13.6	13.7
ATL	15.9	15.6	18.4	15.0	16.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
GSV	5%	67%	29%	0.0%	66.7%	57.1%	55.6%	0.0%
ATL	5%	71%	24%	0.0%	50.0%	51.1%	56.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Golden State Valkyries
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kate Martin	0	0%	3	33%	4	112%	0	0%
Monique Billings	1	100%	10	55%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	1	0%	7	50%	6	42%	0	0%
Kaitlyn Chen	0	0%	3	83%	2	50%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Laeticia Amihere	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Janelle Salaün	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	7	57%	3	33%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	1	100%	4	112%	2	0%	0	0%
Temi Fágbénlé	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Valkyries	3	67%	42	57%	18	56%	0	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	1	0%	8	75%	5	70%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	1	150%	6	50%	4	62%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	9	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	1	0%	10	35%	3	100%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	6	33%	2	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	3	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Te-Hina Paopao	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	3	50%	47	51%	16	56%	0	0%