WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	84		Excitement	7.2 [17]		MVP	Kayla McBride (MIN): +33.1%
Seattle Storm	94		Comeback	6.4 [11]		LVP	Courtney Williams (MIN): -7.1%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0.33	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33	0.11	0.22	0.00	15	63%	0.41	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bridget Carleton	0.12	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.01	6	92%	0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Napheesa Collier	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.04	-0.01	23	48%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Alanna Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.15	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Alissa Pili	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Karlie Samuelson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erica Wheeler	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.10	0.04	13	65%	0.25	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Skylar Diggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	-0.00	14	55%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.01	8	72%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.01	14	68%	0.22	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Dominique Malonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.10	-0.02	5	80%	0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	WNBA	MIN	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.5	14.6	14.8	109.1	122.1	100.0
season	14.6	15.1		106.0	102.6
opponent	14.9	15.6		99.5	95.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.1	15.5	17.3	17.1	16.5
SEA	12.9	14.5	16.9	14.5	14.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	2%	75%	23%	0.0%	0.0%	62.5%	46.7%	0.0%
SEA	1%	77%	22%	0.0%	100.0%	59.4%	66.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	10	55%	5	80%	0	0%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	6	92%	0	0%	0	0%
Napheesa Collier	1	0%	15	50%	7	29%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	7	79%	3	33%	0	0%
Alissa Pili	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	5	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	1	0%	48	62%	15	47%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Erica Wheeler	1	100%	10	60%	2	75%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins	0	0%	11	50%	3	50%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	6	67%	2	100%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	11	73%	3	67%	0	0%
Dominique Malonga	0	0%	3	67%	2	100%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	9	56%	3	33%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	1	100%	53	59%	15	67%	0	0%