WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	97		Excitement	5.0 [39]		MVP	Chelsea Gray (LVA): +24.2%
Las Vegas Aces	89		Comeback	1.9 [14]		LVP	Aaliyah Nye (LVA): -4.8%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rickea Jackson	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.28	0.03	0.07	17	77%	0.32	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Azur� Stevens	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.02	-0.02	14	59%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dearica Hamby	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	11	66%	0.17	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Emma Cannon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	150%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	7	57%	0.12	4	-0.07	9	100%	0.05
Mercedes Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Liatu King	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sarah Ashlee Barker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.20	0.05	0.01	13	80%	0.36	5	-0.12	9	89%	0.06
Jackie Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.28	0.03	0.17	24	60%	0.17	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A'ja Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Elizabeth Kitley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaliyah Nye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	LVA	WNBA	LAS	LVA	WNBA
this game	14.0	14.9	14.8	114.1	109.9	100.0
season	14.6	14.9		102.7	101.0
opponent	14.3	14.9		101.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	15.4	14.0	11.2	16.0	14.0
LVA	16.9	15.3	13.9	14.0	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	10%	90%	0%	0.0%	50.0%	66.3%	0.0%	0.0%
LVA	17%	79%	4%	0.0%	70.8%	38.6%	33.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rickea Jackson	4	75%	13	77%	0	0%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	0	0%	14	54%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	11	68%	0	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	2	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	1	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Liatu King	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sarah Ashlee Barker	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	6	50%	52	66%	0	0%	0	0%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	3	83%	10	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	7	71%	15	47%	2	50%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	1	100%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	9	39%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	11	18%	1	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Kitley	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Nye	1	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	12	71%	57	39%	3	33%	0	0%