WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	78		Excitement	8.8 [20]		MVP	Napheesa Collier (MIN): +68.0%
Connecticut Sun	76		Comeback	3.0 [67]		LVP	Marina Mabrey (CON): -7.7%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Napheesa Collier	0.68	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.33,0.68	0.19	0.49	-0.01	16	74%	0.75	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bridget Carleton	0.67	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.67	0.12	0.54	-0.00	8	72%	0.69	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Myisha Hines-Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	6	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alanna Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.15	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Kayla McBride	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	11	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Cecilia Zandalasini	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	13	31%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Natisha Hiedeman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.45	0.45	0.09	0.34	-0.02	12	75%	0.56	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.04	0.30	0.01	12	52%	0.39	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.11	0.11	-0.04	0.14	-0.00	10	45%	0.34	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	45%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.00	14	46%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CON	WNBA	MIN	CON	WNBA
this game	15.1	15.0	14.8	97.5	96.2	100.5
season	14.9	15.3		101.9	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		94.3	95.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	16.1	14.2	15.5	15.1
CON	13.0	16.4	17.4	13.7	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	91%	3%	6.2%	0.0%	47.4%	50.0%	112.5%
CON	0%	85%	6%	9.1%	0.0%	48.2%	87.5%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Napheesa Collier	0	0%	14	68%	0	0%	2	100%
Bridget Carleton	0	0%	7	57%	0	0%	1	150%
Myisha Hines-Allen	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Alanna Smith	0	0%	5	60%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	10	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Cecilia Zandalasini	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	12	25%	0	0%	1	100%
Natisha Hiedeman	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	58	47%	2	50%	4	112%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	9	78%	0	0%	3	67%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	10	30%	2	100%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	6	33%	2	75%	2	50%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	8	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	13	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Sun	0	0%	56	48%	4	87%	6	50%