WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	76		Excitement	10.2 [7]		MVP	Shatori Walker-Kimbrough (WAS): +35.8%
Washington Mystics	73		Comeback	6.1 [40]		LVP	Brittney Sykes (WAS): -27.0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Hillmon	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.27,0.27	0.03	0.22	-0.03	8	53%	0.41	2	-0.14	3	67%	0.00
Allisha Gray	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	44%	0.11	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Maya Caldwell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	4	40%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tina Charles	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.05	-0.02	14	57%	0.09	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.11
Jordin Canada	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.04	14	47%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Nia Coffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rhyne Howard	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	12	47%	0.08	5	-0.27	6	100%	0.07

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.15	0.20	-0.00	6	76%	0.36	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Sika Kon�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Karlie Samuelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	3	89%	0.14	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Emily Engstler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.16,-0.09,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.41	5	-0.40	0	0%	0.00
Julie Vanloo	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	-0.03	5	50%	0.09	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.15	0.00	13	59%	0.01	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	7	12%	-0.03	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.04
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	9	27%	-0.12	4	-0.15	4	50%	-0.05

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	WNBA	ATL	WAS	WNBA
this game	18.5	14.4	14.8	92.7	89.0	100.5
season	15.3	14.8		95.6	97.0
opponent	14.7	14.8		101.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	19.0	16.3	23.6	18.5
WAS	12.6	16.3	15.3	13.0	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	61%	35%	4.5%	0.0%	50.0%	26.1%	66.7%
WAS	0%	73%	19%	8.5%	0.0%	44.2%	68.2%	30.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	50%	4	25%	2	100%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	7	36%	5	40%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	1	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	10	70%	4	25%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	11	50%	2	50%	1	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	8	50%	4	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	40	50%	23	26%	3	67%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	4	50%	2	100%	0	0%
Sika Kon�	0	0%	6	58%	1	0%	0	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	1	150%	2	75%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	4	25%	1	150%	1	150%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	7	71%	4	62%	2	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	7	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	2	0%
Mystics	0	0%	43	44%	11	68%	5	30%