WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	83		Excitement	6.5 [99]		MVP	Skylar Diggins-Smith (SEA): +27.9%
Dallas Wings	81		Comeback	19.7 [81]		LVP	Jacy Sheldon (DAL): -19.0%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.28	0.08	0.20	-0.01	16	62%	0.43	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.25
Mercedes Russell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.02	4	82%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gabby Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	-0.01	0.10	-0.05	8	62%	0.20	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ezi Magbegor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Horston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	17	38%	0.03	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Joyner Holmes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Teaira McCowan	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.06	0.03	14	66%	0.23	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Arike Ogunbowale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.1	0.10	-0.06	0.10	-0.05	20	37%	0.19	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Maddy Siegrist	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kalani Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sevgi Uzun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaelyn Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	35%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Satou Sabally	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.10	-0.04	19	41%	-0.01	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jacy Sheldon	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	8	39%	-0.02	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	WNBA	SEA	DAL	WNBA
this game	13.4	14.6	14.8	97.6	94.2	100.5
season	14.3	14.6		100.0	101.3
opponent	14.5	14.8		110.9	95.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.8	14.6	10.5	15.2	13.4
DAL	13.8	15.4	14.4	14.8	14.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	1%	88%	11%	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%	37.5%	0.0%
DAL	4%	74%	18%	3.8%	33.3%	45.7%	21.4%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	16	59%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	5	60%	3	67%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	9	67%	2	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	1	100%	14	29%	2	0%	0	0%
Joyner Holmes	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	1	100%	65	50%	8	37%	0	0%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	12	50%	2	100%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	12	37%	5	20%	3	50%
Maddy Siegrist	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Sevgi Uzun	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Jaelyn Brown	1	100%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	1	0%	15	43%	3	0%	0	0%
Jacy Sheldon	1	0%	5	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Wings	3	33%	58	46%	14	21%	3	50%