WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	72		Excitement	8.3 [34]		MVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): +29.3%
Atlanta Dream	69		Comeback	3.0 [42]		LVP	Tina Charles (ATL): -24.7%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0.29	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.29	0.11	0.20	0.01	5	71%	0.29	0	0.00	4	100%	0.09
Stefanie Dolson	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27	0.10	0.15	-0.01	7	81%	0.31	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	4	70%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sika Kon�	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	53%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jade Melbourne	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.03	0.05	-0.04	-0.02	13	67%	0.20	6	-0.17	4	75%	0.01
Karlie Samuelson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julie Vanloo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Aaliyah Edwards	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	5	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	16	45%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorela Cubaj	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.02	10	29%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	39%	0.01	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	11	42%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.07
Tina Charles	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	-0.01	16	35%	-0.05	4	-0.20	5	100%	0.05

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	WNBA	WAS	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.3	15.6	14.8	91.1	85.2	100.5
season	14.8	15.3		97.0	95.6
opponent	14.8	14.7		99.6	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	14.0	12.4	16.6	14.3
ATL	12.9	16.7	14.8	18.7	15.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	80%	17%	3.3%	0.0%	49.0%	55.0%	50.0%
ATL	0%	73%	25%	2.7%	0.0%	29.2%	44.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	6	75%	0	0%	1	100%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Sika Kon�	0	0%	7	43%	1	100%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	4	25%	3	83%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	10	75%	2	50%	1	0%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	3	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	3	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	48	49%	10	55%	2	50%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	13	27%	3	83%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	3	67%	3	50%	0	0%
Lorela Cubaj	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	10	15%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	7	21%	3	33%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	4	50%	6	33%	1	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	12	25%	3	33%	1	0%
Dream	0	0%	53	29%	18	44%	2	0%