WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	71		Excitement	7.1 [74]		MVP	Kelsey Plum (LVA): +21.4%
New York Liberty	75		Comeback	2.4 [139]		LVP	Chelsea Gray (LVA): -13.8%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Plum	0.21	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.21	0.16	0.03	-0.02	17	62%	0.27	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Sydney Colson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.14	0.02	8	50%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Megan Gustafson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiah Stokes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kate Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	-0.08	0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	0.05	-0.11	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tiffany Hayes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	0.03	-0.10	0.04	5	58%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chelsea Gray	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	7	21%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sabrina Ionescu	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.11,0,-0.08,0.19	0.19	-0.07	0.21	-0.06	21	32%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	4	88%	0.20	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Kennedy Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.02	-0.05	3	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leonie Fiebich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	87%	0.14	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nyara Sabally	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.15	-0.23	0.05	14	60%	-0.09	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.18

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	NYL	WNBA	LVA	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.5	15.5	14.8	91.0	97.4	100.5
season	14.7	14.6		104.9	105.1
opponent	15.2	14.7		95.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	17.2	16.5	14.3	14.1	15.5
NYL	15.0	15.9	15.0	15.9	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	14%	66%	14%	6.2%	33.3%	53.6%	55.6%	0.0%
NYL	10%	71%	13%	5.8%	14.3%	50.0%	33.3%	25.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Plum	1	0%	11	64%	3	83%	2	0%
Sydney Colson	4	37%	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	1	150%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Megan Gustafson	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kate Martin	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	10	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	3	83%	1	0%	1	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	6	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Aces	9	33%	42	54%	9	56%	4	0%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sabrina Ionescu	0	0%	14	25%	5	40%	2	50%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	3	117%	1	0%	0	0%
Kennedy Burke	1	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Leonie Fiebich	0	0%	2	125%	2	50%	0	0%
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton	0	0%	10	45%	0	0%	0	0%
Nyara Sabally	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	3	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	11	73%	1	0%	2	0%
Liberty	7	14%	49	50%	9	33%	4	25%