WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	100		Excitement	10.4 [6]		MVP	Aliyah Boston (IND): +83.5%
Indiana Fever	104		Comeback	23.4 [13]		LVP	Tina Charles (ATL): -5.8%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhyne Howard	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.23,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.1,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.47,0.34	0.20	0.15	0.00	28	55%	0.49	4	-0.15	9	67%	-0.06
Jordin Canada	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.11	0.17	0.02	15	52%	0.26	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Nia Coffey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	3	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	19	39%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorela Cubaj	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Haley Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	-0.03	22	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.55,0.84,0.84	0.84	0.26	0.55	-0.02	16	75%	0.95	2	-0.12	8	100%	0.04
Temi Fagbenle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.19	-0.01	7	60%	0.27	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.17	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	16	58%	0.18	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.04
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Caitlin Clark	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	17	62%	0.41	9	-0.40	8	100%	0.08
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	WNBA	ATL	IND	WNBA
this game	15.8	13.0	14.8	106.4	111.8	100.5
season	15.3	14.7		95.6	102.8
opponent	14.5	14.8		106.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	16.3	15.7	18.3	15.8
IND	13.8	11.7	15.0	12.4	13.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	3%	69%	18%	9.6%	0.0%	49.2%	55.9%	22.2%
IND	0%	71%	21%	8.8%	0.0%	58.3%	71.4%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	17	56%	7	64%	4	25%
Jordin Canada	1	0%	9	56%	4	25%	1	100%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	16	41%	2	50%	1	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Lorela Cubaj	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	1	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	2	0%	15	33%	3	67%	2	0%
Dream	3	0%	65	49%	17	56%	9	22%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	10	50%	3	100%	3	100%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	4	50%	2	50%	1	100%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	5	120%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	13	62%	2	50%	1	0%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	10	40%	6	83%	1	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	48	58%	14	71%	6	67%