WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	72		Excitement	6.8 [87]		MVP	A'ja Wilson (LVA): +40.9%
Connecticut Sun	67		Comeback	8.3 [34]		LVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): -17.8%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0.41	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.41	0.08	0.28	-0.05	15	56%	0.47	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.03
Kelsey Plum	0.36	0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.22	0.14	-0.01	15	71%	0.42	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Chelsea Gray	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0,-0.06,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	10	59%	0.28	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Kate Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sydney Colson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	8	18%	-0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brionna Jones	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.14	-0.02	9	77%	0.39	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.01	11	50%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marina Mabrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	-0.05	15	47%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Veronica Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyasha Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DiJonai Carrington	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.10	-0.06	10	31%	-0.09	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	5	64%	0.12	8	-0.30	1	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	CON	WNBA	LVA	CON	WNBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.8	90.0	80.7	100.5
season	14.7	15.3		104.9	101.9
opponent	15.2	14.7		94.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	14.8	15.1	14.0	15.6	14.9
CON	12.9	14.2	17.4	13.7	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	0%	72%	26%	1.5%	0.0%	42.6%	41.2%	100.0%
CON	0%	75%	21%	3.6%	0.0%	42.9%	62.5%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	0	0%	12	58%	2	0%	1	100%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	11	64%	4	62%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	7	57%	3	50%	0	0%
Kate Martin	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	5	20%	4	25%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	6	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Aces	0	0%	47	43%	17	41%	1	100%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	7	71%	1	100%	1	100%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	10	45%	1	100%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	10	30%	5	70%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	4	62%	2	0%	0	0%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	9	22%	0	0%	1	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	2	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	42	43%	12	62%	2	50%