WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	96		Excitement	8.4 [32]		MVP	Rhyne Howard (ATL): +32.6%
Atlanta Dream	107		Comeback	30.9 [11]		LVP	Satou Sabally (DAL): -17.7%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.03	0.18	-0.07	23	48%	0.40	3	-0.13	4	50%	0.00
Teaira McCowan	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	72%	0.22	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.04
Jacy Sheldon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.06	1	0.01	4	100%	0.01
Arike Ogunbowale	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.05	0.00	17	56%	0.14	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Jaelyn Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kalani Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maddy Siegrist	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sevgi Uzun	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Satou Sabally	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	0.09	-0.23	0.03	11	69%	0.07	4	-0.25	4	75%	-0.10

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.22	0.16	0.06	26	57%	0.37	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.09
Tina Charles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.23	0.02	19	50%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	8	68%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.15	1	-0.04	10	60%	-0.16
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.00
Lorela Cubaj	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	WNBA	DAL	ATL	WNBA
this game	14.4	15.8	14.8	106.7	120.2	100.5
season	14.6	15.3		101.3	95.6
opponent	14.8	14.5		99.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.4	15.7	16.8	13.9	14.4
ATL	16.8	15.1	14.7	14.9	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	6%	79%	8%	7.0%	0.0%	62.5%	50.0%	20.0%
ATL	5%	72%	17%	6.4%	50.0%	54.5%	65.4%	40.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	2	0%	15	53%	4	50%	2	50%
Teaira McCowan	0	0%	8	75%	1	100%	1	0%
Jacy Sheldon	0	0%	5	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Arike Ogunbowale	0	0%	15	57%	1	0%	1	0%
Jaelyn Brown	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Kalani Brown	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Maddy Siegrist	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sevgi Uzun	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Satou Sabally	1	0%	9	83%	0	0%	1	0%
Wings	4	0%	56	62%	6	50%	5	20%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	19	58%	6	67%	1	0%
Tina Charles	1	100%	13	38%	2	50%	3	67%
Jordin Canada	1	0%	6	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	6	83%	1	100%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	2	50%	9	50%	3	50%	1	0%
Lorela Cubaj	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Dream	4	50%	56	54%	13	65%	5	40%