WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	81		Excitement	8.9 [18]		MVP	Jewell Loyd (SEA): +55.9%
Seattle Storm	85		Comeback	10.3 [47]		LVP	Rhyne Howard (ATL): -18.4%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.00	15	59%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Allisha Gray	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	16	59%	0.32	4	-0.19	5	80%	-0.03
Naz Hillmon	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	4	78%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Nia Coffey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.02	-0.03	6	75%	0.22	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jordin Canada	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	14	40%	0.18	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Lorela Cubaj	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maya Caldwell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rhyne Howard	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	15	37%	-0.05	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.56	0.56	0.18	0.39	0.01	22	55%	0.60	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.3,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.17	-0.01	13	52%	0.29	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.07
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	2	100%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.04	0.01	15	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joyner Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	6	21%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	WNBA	ATL	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.7	14.0	14.8	96.4	102.4	100.5
season	15.3	14.3		95.6	100.0
opponent	14.8	14.8		95.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	14.4	15.6	12.9	14.7
SEA	13.1	16.4	11.2	15.8	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	73%	25%	2.7%	0.0%	45.3%	61.1%	0.0%
SEA	0%	67%	29%	4.2%	0.0%	52.1%	40.5%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	0	0%	14	54%	1	100%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	10	60%	5	60%	1	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	3	83%	3	67%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	0	0%	10	30%	4	50%	0	0%
Lorela Cubaj	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	0	0%	10	30%	4	50%	1	0%
Dream	0	0%	53	45%	18	61%	2	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	13	50%	7	36%	2	75%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	7	36%	6	67%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	10	75%	4	25%	1	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Joyner Holmes	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	4	25%	2	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	48	52%	21	40%	3	50%