WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	74		Excitement	7.5 [61]		MVP	Ariel Atkins (WAS): +21.9%
Chicago Sky	70		Comeback	12.3 [24]		LVP	Angel Reese (CHI): -31.3%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0.22	0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.08	-0.01	10	75%	0.25	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	5	82%	0.18	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.12	-0.02	-0.00	13	61%	0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaliyah Edwards	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	8	33%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Karlie Samuelson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sika Kon�	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sug Sutton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julie Vanloo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jade Melbourne	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	9	27%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diamond DeShields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	7	75%	0.21	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kamilla Cardoso	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.03	-0.05	4	77%	0.19	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.03	14	54%	0.17	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.16	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Angel Reese	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.17	-0.15	-0.01	10	32%	-0.11	6	-0.20	2	50%	-0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	WNBA	WAS	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.5	15.5	14.8	96.1	89.7	100.5
season	14.8	15.2		97.0	95.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		102.5	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.6	17.7	17.5	14.9	15.5
CHI	13.3	14.8	16.8	17.5	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	68%	29%	3.0%	0.0%	56.7%	28.9%	100.0%
CHI	0%	74%	24%	1.7%	0.0%	51.2%	53.6%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	7	93%	2	0%	1	100%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	3	133%	2	0%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	10	65%	3	33%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	1	100%
Karlie Samuelson	0	0%	1	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Sika Kon�	0	0%	4	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	2	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	4	62%	1	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	6	17%	3	33%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	45	57%	19	29%	2	100%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	5	70%	2	100%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Kamilla Cardoso	0	0%	2	50%	2	100%	0	0%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	14	54%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	1	0%	3	83%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	2	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	7	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Angel Reese	0	0%	5	40%	4	25%	1	0%
Sky	0	0%	43	51%	14	54%	1	0%