WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	80		Excitement	8.1 [44]		MVP	Kelsey Mitchell (IND): +39.8%
Indiana Fever	84		Comeback	1.8 [73]		LVP	Brionna Jones (CON): -24.0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DiJonai Carrington	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	13	61%	0.23	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Marina Mabrey	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.00	12	67%	0.22	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyasha Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.13	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Alyssa Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.25	4	-0.23	6	50%	-0.01
Veronica Burton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeWanna Bonner	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	13	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Brionna Jones	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	6	17%	-0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.24	0.17	0.01	14	74%	0.48	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Lexie Hull	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.00	9	77%	0.26	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	2	125%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caitlin Clark	0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	17	53%	0.23	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
NaLyssa Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.04	7	62%	0.10	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Temi Fagbenle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aliyah Boston	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	13	38%	0.04	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	IND	WNBA	CON	IND	WNBA
this game	14.2	14.4	14.8	97.6	97.7	100.5
season	15.3	14.7		101.9	102.8
opponent	14.5	15.2		106.8	94.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	12.8	14.5	12.7	17.6	14.2
IND	12.2	15.5	13.9	16.7	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	71%	27%	1.5%	0.0%	56.4%	41.7%	0.0%
IND	0%	73%	26%	1.5%	0.0%	62.5%	38.2%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
DiJonai Carrington	0	0%	9	61%	4	50%	0	0%
Marina Mabrey	0	0%	6	92%	6	42%	0	0%
Tyasha Harris	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	7	71%	4	50%	0	0%
Veronica Burton	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	13	35%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	1	0%
Sun	0	0%	47	56%	18	42%	1	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Mitchell	0	0%	11	68%	3	83%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	0	0%	6	100%	3	33%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	2	125%	0	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	0	0%	12	54%	4	25%	1	100%
NaLyssa Smith	0	0%	5	90%	2	0%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	0	0%	8	37%	5	40%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	48	62%	17	38%	1	100%