WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	74		Excitement	8.6 [29]		MVP	Brittney Sykes (WAS): +35.9%
Seattle Storm	72		Comeback	2.8 [26]		LVP	Stefanie Dolson (WAS): -18.5%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Sykes	0.36	0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,-0.02,0.36	0.07	0.30	0.02	16	56%	0.43	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Emily Engstler	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	8	75%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	9	61%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julie Vanloo	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shakira Austin	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jade Melbourne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.14	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Aaliyah Edwards	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stefanie Dolson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	10	25%	-0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	8	61%	0.17	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Mercedes Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Horston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ezi Magbegor	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.10	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	14	32%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gabby Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	27%	0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	10	48%	0.02	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	18	39%	-0.08	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SEA	WNBA	WAS	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.1	15.1	14.8	91.4	86.7	100.5
season	14.8	14.3		97.0	100.0
opponent	14.8	14.7		95.4	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.0	15.5	14.3	16.3	14.1
SEA	14.2	15.3	14.9	16.1	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	62%	37%	1.5%	0.0%	58.3%	40.0%	0.0%
SEA	0%	69%	27%	4.1%	0.0%	45.1%	37.5%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	10	60%	6	33%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	4	100%	4	50%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	3	83%	6	50%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	6	75%	4	25%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	3	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	8	31%	1	0%	1	0%
Mystics	0	0%	42	58%	25	40%	1	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	4	62%	4	62%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	5	60%	2	50%	0	0%
Jordan Horston	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	6	58%	2	50%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	9	39%	4	0%	1	100%
Gabby Williams	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	6	42%	3	67%	1	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	13	38%	4	25%	1	0%
Storm	0	0%	51	45%	20	37%	3	33%