WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	84		Excitement	5.3 [149]		MVP	Tina Charles (ATL): +14.6%
Atlanta Dream	79		Comeback	1.0 [163]		LVP	Nia Coffey (ATL): -14.2%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damiris Dantas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.02	0.04	5	110%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caitlin Clark	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	14	61%	0.12	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kelsey Mitchell	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.08	0.21	-0.02	0.11	23	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Aliyah Boston	0.07	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.02	-0.10	14	44%	0.07	3	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Lexie Hull	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.02	3	29%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.04
Katie Lou Samuelson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
NaLyssa Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	10	33%	0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Temi Fagbenle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tina Charles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.15	0.15	0.22	-0.02	0.06	21	64%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Allisha Gray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	43%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Rhyne Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.02	17	44%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Maya Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haley Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lorela Cubaj	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Hillmon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jordin Canada	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	7	48%	0.05	4	-0.14	7	71%	-0.01
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	7	36%	-0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	WNBA	IND	ATL	WNBA
this game	15.0	13.9	14.8	103.7	92.9	100.5
season	14.7	15.3		102.8	95.6
opponent	14.8	14.5		99.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	13.6	12.5	18.7	15.0
ATL	14.1	13.7	16.0	11.7	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	9%	84%	7%	0.0%	42.9%	48.4%	40.0%	0.0%
ATL	11%	82%	4%	2.7%	68.7%	41.7%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Damiris Dantas	1	150%	4	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Caitlin Clark	1	0%	13	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Mitchell	1	150%	20	45%	2	50%	0	0%
Aliyah Boston	2	0%	12	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lexie Hull	1	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Katie Lou Samuelson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
NaLyssa Smith	1	0%	9	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Temi Fagbenle	0	0%	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Fever	7	43%	64	48%	5	40%	0	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tina Charles	4	75%	15	67%	1	0%	1	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	12	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Rhyne Howard	2	75%	14	29%	1	150%	0	0%
Maya Caldwell	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Haley Jones	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lorela Cubaj	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Naz Hillmon	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordin Canada	1	0%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	1	0%
Dream	8	69%	60	42%	3	50%	2	0%