WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Las Vegas Aces	77		Excitement	6.9 [83]		MVP	Chennedy Carter (CHI): +57.0%
Chicago Sky	75		Comeback	2.5 [158]		LVP	Angel Reese (CHI): -16.8%

Las Vegas Aces
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A'ja Wilson	0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.43	-0.05	0.45	-0.03	28	33%	0.43	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Megan Gustafson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.09	0.01	8	81%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	17	51%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Chelsea Gray	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	39%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tiffany Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kate Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chennedy Carter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.57	0.57	0.20	0.39	0.01	20	56%	0.57	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Michaela Onyenwere	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.02	-0.00	13	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kamilla Cardoso	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	38%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Dana Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diamond DeShields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.10	12	62%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Angel Reese	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	16	31%	-0.07	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LVA	CHI	WNBA	LVA	CHI	WNBA
this game	14.8	15.3	14.8	98.7	92.6	100.5
season	14.7	15.2		104.9	95.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		102.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LVA	15.1	12.5	14.4	17.6	14.8
CHI	14.0	16.1	15.6	15.7	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LVA	9%	78%	12%	1.2%	35.7%	39.7%	55.0%	100.0%
CHI	16%	68%	15%	1.2%	42.3%	42.0%	25.0%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Las Vegas Aces
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
A'ja Wilson	1	0%	22	27%	4	25%	1	100%
Megan Gustafson	1	0%	5	90%	2	100%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	3	50%	12	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	2	50%	8	12%	2	75%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	6	58%	0	0%	0	0%
Jackie Young	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Kate Martin	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Aces	7	36%	63	40%	10	55%	1	100%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chennedy Carter	0	0%	16	50%	3	33%	1	150%
Michaela Onyenwere	0	0%	11	68%	2	0%	0	0%
Kamilla Cardoso	0	0%	8	25%	2	100%	0	0%
Dana Evans	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Diamond DeShields	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	6	75%	4	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Angel Reese	5	20%	8	37%	3	0%	0	0%
Sky	13	42%	56	42%	12	25%	1	150%