WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	83		Excitement	7.1 [76]		MVP	Nneka Ogwumike (SEA): +38.5%
Washington Mystics	77		Comeback	1.4 [211]		LVP	Brittney Sykes (WAS): -27.1%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38	0.21	0.18	0.00	16	63%	0.38	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Ezi Magbegor	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.06	-0.01	9	59%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Sami Whitcomb	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joyner Holmes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mercedes Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Vivians	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	55%	0.20	6	-0.25	9	89%	0.03
Skylar Diggins-Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	17	40%	0.03	4	-0.11	9	78%	-0.00
Jordan Horston	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	4	30%	-0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ariel Atkins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.21	0.07	-0.00	16	74%	0.34	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Shakira Austin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	15	53%	0.34	8	-0.27	15	67%	-0.04
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julie Vanloo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jade Melbourne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emily Engstler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaliyah Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.25,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.23	-0.04	16	35%	-0.07	3	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	WAS	WNBA	SEA	WAS	WNBA
this game	12.8	14.1	14.8	94.3	86.5	100.5
season	14.3	14.8		100.0	97.0
opponent	14.7	14.8		101.0	95.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.4	13.6	12.6	13.5	12.8
WAS	13.7	14.9	14.7	13.2	14.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	77%	20%	2.9%	0.0%	39.8%	42.9%	50.0%
WAS	3%	71%	26%	0.0%	75.0%	47.1%	34.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	14	50%	2	100%	0	0%
Ezi Magbegor	0	0%	7	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	3	33%	3	67%	0	0%
Joyner Holmes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercedes Russell	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Vivians	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	8	50%	3	0%	1	100%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	13	31%	3	33%	1	0%
Jordan Horston	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	54	40%	14	43%	2	50%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ariel Atkins	0	0%	14	71%	2	75%	0	0%
Shakira Austin	0	0%	10	40%	5	60%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	4	87%	3	33%	0	0%
Julie Vanloo	0	0%	4	37%	1	100%	0	0%
Jade Melbourne	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Emily Engstler	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aaliyah Edwards	0	0%	2	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	2	75%	10	40%	4	0%	0	0%
Mystics	2	75%	51	47%	19	34%	0	0%