WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	84		Excitement	9.4 [10]		MVP	Natasha Cloud (PHO): +57.0%
Los Angeles Sparks	78		Comeback	3.1 [91]		LVP	Aari McDonald (LAS): -38.7%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Cloud	0.57	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.29,0.57	0.23	0.34	-0.00	16	79%	0.81	6	-0.24	7	100%	0.05
Sophie Cunningham	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	6	67%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kahleah Copper	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.01	17	53%	0.26	4	-0.14	13	85%	0.00
Mikiah Herbert Harrigan	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	7	37%	0.14	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Liz Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sug Sutton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Brittney Griner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.04	-0.05	9	41%	0.06	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.02

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rickea Jackson	0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.45	0.45	0.18	0.27	0.00	17	55%	0.45	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4	0.40	0.18	0.22	-0.01	19	58%	0.42	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
Azur� Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	-0.01	0.19	-0.03	10	45%	0.29	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zia Cooke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Dangerfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Li Yueru	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kia Nurse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rae Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	29%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Aari McDonald	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	10	18%	-0.35	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	LAS	WNBA	PHO	LAS	WNBA
this game	13.7	16.1	14.8	102.4	98.7	100.5
season	14.8	14.8		101.2	96.0
opponent	14.6	14.9		104.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	10.4	17.0	14.6	13.8	13.7
LAS	16.2	16.3	14.7	17.2	16.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	71%	25%	3.4%	0.0%	47.6%	53.3%	125.0%
LAS	3%	67%	25%	5.3%	0.0%	45.0%	42.1%	25.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	11	59%	4	112%	1	100%
Sophie Cunningham	0	0%	4	37%	2	125%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	15	40%	2	50%	0	0%
Mikiah Herbert Harrigan	0	0%	3	33%	3	0%	1	150%
Liz Dixon	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Mack	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sug Sutton	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	6	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	42	48%	15	53%	2	125%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Rickea Jackson	0	0%	9	50%	7	50%	1	100%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	15	57%	4	62%	0	0%
Azur� Stevens	1	0%	8	37%	1	100%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Zia Cooke	0	0%	1	150%	4	25%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Crystal Dangerfield	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Li Yueru	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Nurse	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rae Burrell	0	0%	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Aari McDonald	1	0%	5	20%	1	0%	3	0%
Sparks	2	0%	50	45%	19	42%	4	25%